Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, 3/25/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Thursday, March 25, 2021

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Golden Knights (+130) Avalanche (-150)

Philipp Grubauer and the Colorado Avalanche (20-8-3) host the Vegas Golden Knights (22-7-1) at Ball Arena on Thursday. The Avalanche open this contest at -150 while the Golden Knights are coming in at +130. The O/U is set at 5.5.

The Golden Knights were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 5-1 win over the Blues in their last contest. The Golden Knights played really well in the victory. In the game, they scored on 5 out of the 35 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 3 chances on the power play and were able to notch 2 goals. Vegas accumulated 6 mins in the box for this contest. The Corsi for the Golden Knights sat at 53 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 34 which means they had a Corsi rate of 60.9%. Their Fenwick came in at 40 and the Fenwick Against sat at 19, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 67.8%. They earned 25 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 23 opportunities to take control of the puck. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 51.6% and they had a PDO at even strength of 105.3 in this one.

In terms of scoring goals, the Vegas Golden Knights have accumulated 100 goals (9th in pro hockey) this year and have surrendered 66. For the year, they have racked up 45 points and their points % is .750. Vegas has accumulated 94 power play chances and they have added 18 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 19.15%. While playing at even strength, the Golden Knights have surrendered 54 goals while notching 82 of their own. Vegas has attempted 935 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.7%. The Golden Knights have had 820 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .920. Vegas Golden Knights opponents have earned 77 power play opportunities (28th in the NHL) and have come away with 12 goals in those attempts.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Marc-Andre Fleury. Opponents have scored 2,140 goals versus Fleury in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 2.55. Fleury has taken the ice for 869 matchups throughout his pro hockey career. His save percentage is at .913 during his 50,263 mins between the pipes. He has accumulated a record of 482-272-82 and he started in 713 games. For his professional hockey career, Fleury has accumulated 392 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .550. Fleury has seen 24,618 shots against him and has amassed 22,478 total saves.

When they took the ice last, Colorado played the Coyotes in an outing where the Avalanche took the loss by a mark of 5-4. Colorado wrapped up this game with a 54.1% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Colorado played and it was a good performance overall. Their Fenwick rate came in at 50.7% by tallying a Fenwick of 36 and the Coyotes finishing with a 35 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO of 94 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 73.2%. The Avalanche earned 4 goals out of the 39 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this game and recorded 1 out of those attempts.

Colorado has tried 1,094 shots (2nd in the NHL) and has earned a shot percentage of 9.69%, while allowing the opposition 780 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 87.37% on the other teams 95 power play tries, and their save percentage sits at 91.0%. They have a tally of 111 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 23.42%. The Avalanche have scored 80 goals at even strength and 26 goals (7th in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. They have allowed 70 goals to be scored by of a combination of 58 goals at even strength and 12 goals while they were shorthanded. On the year, the Colorado Avalanche have earned a total of 106 goals, 43 points, and a points percentage of .694.

Across the ice you are going to see Philipp Grubauer defending the net. The opposition is averaging 2.34 goals/game and he has allowed 424 goals overall. Grubauer's quality start rate comes out to 60.1% and he has made 104 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has been a starter 173 games and has played 10,891 minutes. Grubauer has accumulated a career record of 98-59-20 and has been in net for 200 games. He is sitting with 4,961 stops out of the 5,385 shots taken, giving him a save % of .921.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Vegas (+130)

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