Vancouver Canucks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 5/1/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Vancouver Canucks vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: CBC

Odds/Point Spread: Canucks (+245) Maple Leafs (-290)

David Rittich and the Toronto Maple Leafs (32-13-5) host the Vancouver Canucks (19-22-3) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. The odds on this matchup have the Canucks priced at +245 and the Maple Leafs are at -290. The O/U opens at 6.

The Canucks were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 4-1 defeat against the Maple Leafs in their last contest. The Corsi for the Canucks was sitting at 41 and the Corsi against was 56 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 42.3%. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 36.0% and their PDO rating was 83.3 in this game. Vancouver accounted for 9 penalty mins in this matchup. The Canucks had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in this defeat. Their Fenwick came in at 26 and the Fenwick against was 41, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 38.8%. They earned 24 face-off victories at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to win the face-off. Furthermore, they had 2 attempts on the power play and scored 1 goal. In the game, they finished 1 of the 16 shots they launched.

The Canucks have had 1,465 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .904. While at even strength, the Canucks have conceded 110 goals while getting 91 of their own. Vancouver Canucks opponents have 146 power play opportunities (20th in pro hockey) and have earned 31 goals in those chances. For the season, they have recorded 41 points and their points percentage is .466. Vancouver has tried 1,297 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 8.9%. Concerning scoring goals, the Vancouver Canucks have notched 115 goals (30th in hockey) for the season and have given up 141. Vancouver has accounted for 122 power play chances and they have scored 24 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 19.67%.

The man protecting the net in this game is Braden Holtby. Over the course of his pro career, Holtby has accounted for 273 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .575. He has a save percentage of .915 in his 27,848 mins between the pipes. Holtby has seen 14,050 shots taken against him and has accrued 12,861 total saves. Opponents have racked up 1,189 goals against Holtby in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.56. He has amassed an overall mark of 289-130-48 and he has started in 475 games. Holtby has taken the ice for 485 matchups during his NHL career.

In their win over Vancouver, Toronto had 1 power play attempt in this matchup but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. The Maple Leafs recorded 4 goals out of the 24 shots on goal they were seeking. Their PDO at even strength was 117 and their percentage of oZS was 64.0%. Toronto went home with a 57.7% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Toronto played and they showed out in this one. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 61.2% by way of having a Fenwick of 41 and the Canucks finishing with a 26 Fenwick at even strength.

For the year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 166 goals, 69 points, in addition to a points percentage of .690. They have permitted 132 goals to be scored by way of 102 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Maple Leafs have earned 136 goals at even strength and 30 goals (15th in the league) while having a power play advantage. They have recorded 138 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 21.74%. Toronto has taken 1,562 shots (5th in hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 10.63%, while allowing the other team 1,412 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 76.56% on their opponents 128 tries on the power play, and their save percentage is 90.7%.

On the other side of the ice you will find David Rittich defending the net. He has racked up 3,348 saves out of the 3,691 shots taken, giving him a percentage of .907. Rittich has earned a career record of 64-40-16 and has been in goal for 134 games. He was named a starter in 121 games and has been on the ice for 7,289 mins. Rittich's quality start rate sits at 55.4% and he has made 67 quality starts in his professional career. Opponents are averaging 2.82 goals per contest and he has allowed 343 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-290)

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