Vancouver Canucks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 4/29/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Vancouver Canucks vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Thursday, April 29, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Canucks (+240) Maple Leafs (-280)

David Rittich and the Toronto Maple Leafs (30-13-5) play the Vancouver Canucks (19-20-3) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. The Maple Leafs open this game at -280 while the Canucks are priced at +240. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Canucks were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 2-1 defeat against the Senators in their last contest. The Corsi for the Canucks came in at 41 and the Corsi against was at 48 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 46.1%. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 45.8% and their PDO rating was 96.0 in this game. Vancouver accounted for 7 penalty minutes in this game. The Canucks had a below average offensive performance in the loss. Their Fenwick came in at 31 and the Fenwick against was 34, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 47.7%. They earned 25 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 16 attempts to win the puck. They also had 1 opportunity with more players on the ice but weren't able to make the most of that try. For the game, they scored on 1 out of the 26 shots they tried.

Vancouver Canucks opponents have amassed 143 power play opportunities (20th in the league) and have come away with 31 goals in those attempts. The Canucks have had 1,408 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .907. Vancouver has taken 1,259 shots and has a shooting percentage of 8.8%. When playing at even strength, the Canucks have allowed 100 goals while earning 88 on the offensive side of the ice. Vancouver has 118 power play opportunities and they have scored 23 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 19.49%. For the current season, they have recorded 41 points and their points percentage is sitting at .488. When discussing their scoring capabilities, the Vancouver Canucks have accumulated 111 goals (30th in the National Hockey League) so far this year and have given up 131.

The player in the crease for this game is Braden Holtby. Throughout his time in hockey, Holtby has accrued 273 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .576. His save percentage currently is .916 for his 27,790 mins in the crease. Holtby has seen 14,026 shots against him and has recorded 12,841 saves. Opponents have racked up 1,185 goals versus Holtby in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.56. He has compiled a win-loss mark of 289-129-48 and got the start in 474 games. Holtby has been in goal for 484 matchups during his NHL career.

In their last outing, Toronto faced the Jets in an outing where the Maple Leafs ended up with the win by a final of 4-1. They had a PDO of 111 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 50.0%. They had 4 power play opportunities in this game but didn't score a goal. They had a Fenwick percentage of 53.6% by way of having a Fenwick of 30 and the Jets having racked up a 26 Fenwick. The Maple Leafs had 4 goals of the 37 shots on goal they were seeking. Toronto wrapped up this game with a 52.8% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Toronto played and they showed out in this one.

The Maple Leafs have racked up 129 goals at even strength and 29 goals (15th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. Toronto has put up 1,509 shots (7th in the league) and has earned a shot percentage of 10.47%, while allowing the opposition 1,363 shots. On the year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 158 goals, 65 points, in addition to a points percentage of .677. They have recorded 135 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 21.48%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 76.61% on the other teams 124 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.5%. They have permitted 130 goals to be scored by of a combination of 101 goals at even strength and 29 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the rink you are going to see David Rittich defending the net. Opponents are averaging 2.84 goals per contest and he has conceded 342 goals altogether. Rittich's quality start rate comes out to 55.0% and he has made 66 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has started in 120 games and has accumulated 7,229 minutes. Rittich has amassed a career mark of 63-40-16 and has participated in 133 games. He has recorded 3,333 saves out of 3,675 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .907.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Vancouver (+240)

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