Vancouver Canucks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 2/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Vancouver Canucks vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Date: Thursday, February 4, 2021
Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON
TV: TSN4
Odds/Point Spread: Canucks (+150) Maple Leafs (-182)
Braden Holtby and the Vancouver Canucks (6-7-0) travel to Scotiabank Arena on Thursday where they'll take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7-2-1). The line on this contest has the Canucks coming in at +150 and the Maple Leafs are at -182. The over/under has been set at 7.5.
The Canucks had a rough game after their 5 - 3 defeat against the Canadiens in their last game. The Canucks had an average offensive performance in the defeat. For the outing, they netted 3 out of the 39 shots they looked to score on. In addition, they had 3 power play chances and notched 1 goal out of those tries. Vancouver earned a total of 8 penalty mins for this game. The Corsi for the Canucks was 47 and the Corsi against was 49 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 49.0%. Their Fenwick sat at 37 and the Fenwick against was 37, which earned them a rate of 50.0%. They won 28 face-off wins and were beaten on 30 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 41.8% and they had a PDO of 89.0 for this game. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Montreal Canadiens tallied a total of 33 shots. They had 6 penalty mins and they had 4 power play opportunities.
Regarding scoring goals, the Vancouver Canucks have accumulated 44 goals (2nd in the National Hockey League) so far this year and have allowed 48. For the season, they have accumulated 12 points and their points percentage comes in at .462. Vancouver has accounted for 47 power play opportunities and they have scored 7 goals out of those advantages, earning them a percentage of 14.89%. At even strength, the Canucks have given up 34 goals while notching 35 on offense. Vancouver has attempted 406 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 10.8%. The Canucks have had 468 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .897. Vancouver Canucks opponents have 56 power play opportunities (1st in professional hockey) and have scored 11 goals in those attempts.
The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Braden Holtby. Over the course of his career, Holtby has earned 269 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .580. He has a save percentage of .916 in his 27,191 minutes in the crease. Holtby has seen 13,697 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 12,542 saves. Opponents have scored 1,155 goals against Holtby in his professional hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.55. He has an overall mark of 285-125-46 and got the start in 464 games. Holtby has been in goal for 474 games throughout his hockey career.
The Maple Leafs squared up with the Oilers in a game where the Maple Leafs were on the wrong end of the score by a final score of 4 - 3. Toronto wound up with a 42.6% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by earning a Corsi of 40 and they conceded a Corsi of 54. They had a Fenwick percentage of 44.3% by earning a Fenwick of 31 and the Oilers finishing with a 39 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Toronto had and you could say that they played like a middle of the road team. They had a PDO at even strength of 96.9 and their oZS percentage was 51.4%. The Maple Leafs netted 3 goals of the 29 shots on goal they took. They had 2 power play attempts in this game and were able to notch 1 out of those opportunities. As for the opposition, the Oilers had 2 power play chances and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. Toronto conceded 31 shots on goal and the Oilers racked up a total of 4 penalty mins.
The Maple Leafs have scored 20 goals at even strength and 13 goals (2nd in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. Toronto has tried 299 shots (11th in hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 11.04%, while allowing the other team 276 shots. On the campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 33 goals, 15 points, and a points percentage of .750. They have recorded 30 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 43.33%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 76.92% on the other teams 39 power play chances, and their save percentage currently comes in at 11.0%. They have granted a total of 29 goals to be scored by way of 19 goals at even strength and 9 goals while they had less men on the ice.
For the opposition you will find Frederik Andersen in goal. Andersen has accrued a lifetime mark of 218-94-46 and has played in 377 games. Andersen's quality start rate sits at 57.7% and he has accumulated 211 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has compiled 10,375 saves out of the 11,326 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .916. The opposition is averaging 2.63 goals per game and he has yielded 951 goals altogether. He has made the start in 366 games and has been on the ice for 21,656 minutes.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Vancouver (+150)
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Additional Resources:
Toronto Maple Leafs - Twitter
Vancouver Canucks - Twitter