Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction, 5/14/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets

Date: Friday, May 14, 2021

Location: Bell MTS Place in Winnipeg, MB

TV: NHL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-160) Jets (+140)

Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (34-13-6) travel to Bell MTS Place on Friday where they'll meet the Winnipeg Jets (28-21-3). The Maple Leafs open this game at -160 while the Jets are coming in at +140. The total is set at 6.

The Maple Leafs will need a bounce back game after taking a 4-3 loss to the Senators in their last outing. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was sitting at 40 and the Corsi against was 43 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 48.2%. Their offensive zone starts sat at 53.9% and they had a PDO at even strength of 92.2 in this one. Toronto accumulated 12 mins in the box for this game. The Maple Leafs had a middle of the road offensive output in the loss. Their Fenwick was 31 and the Fenwick Against sat at 33, giving them a Fenwick rate of 48.4%. They compiled 22 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 17 attempts to control the puck. Additionally, they had 5 chances on the power play and scored 1 goal. In the game, they scored on 3 of the 33 shots they looked to score on.

The Maple Leafs have had 1,534 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .906. When at even strength, the Maple Leafs have conceded 113 goals while getting 154 on offense. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 136 power play opportunities (29th in the NHL) and have racked up 31 goals in those chances. For the season, they sit with 74 points and their points percentage sits at .698. Toronto has tried 1,715 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.7%. In relation to their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 184 goals (6th in the NHL) this season and have allowed 144. Toronto comes into tonight with 146 power play chances and they have scored 30 goals during those chances, garnering them a rate of 20.55%.

The man in net for this game is Jack Campbell. Campbell has participated in 85 contests over the course of his pro hockey career. He has earned an overall record of 40-29-8 and he was named the starter in 77 games. The opposition has racked up 194 goals versus Campbell in his professional career and his goals against average is 2.46. Campbell has seen 2,365 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 2,171 total saves. His save percentage currently sits at .918 during his 4,732 mins played. During his career on the ice, Campbell has tallied 42 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .545.

When they were on the ice last, Winnipeg opposed the Canucks in a matchup where the Jets took home the victory by a mark of 5-0. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net. The Jets notched 5 goals out of the 36 shots on goal they pursued. Their PDO was 116 and their percentage of oZS was 51.7%. Winnipeg went home with a 59.0% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Winnipeg had and it was a good performance overall. They had a Fenwick percentage of 52.9% by accumulating a Fenwick of 36 and the Canucks finishing with a 32 Fenwick at even strength.

The Jets have earned 129 goals at even strength and 37 goals (7th in professional hockey) while having a power play advantage. Winnipeg has attempted 1,637 shots (17th in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 10.14%, while allowing their opponents 1,677 shots. On the season, the Winnipeg Jets have accounted for 166 goals, 59 points, and a points percentage of .567. They have a total of 153 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 24.18%. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 80.28% on their opponents 142 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 91.1%. They have permitted 150 goals to be scored by of a combination of 122 goals at even strength and 28 goals while they were shorthanded.

For the opposition you are going to see Connor Hellebuyck in net. He has accounted for 8,662 saves out of 9,449 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .917. Hellebuyck is sitting with a career mark of 171-102-25 and has participated in 314 contests. He got the starting nod in 305 contests and his ice time sits at 17,949 minutes. Hellebuyck's quality start percentage sits at 54.4% and he has made 166 quality starting assignments in his career. Teams are averaging 2.63 goals per contest and he has conceded 787 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-160)

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