Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction, 4/22/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets

Date: Thursday, April 22, 2021

Location: Bell MTS Place in Winnipeg, MB

TV: TVAS

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-135) Jets (+115)

Bell MTS Place is the site where Connor Hellebuyck and the Winnipeg Jets (27-15-3) will play the Toronto Maple Leafs (28-13-5) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has the Maple Leafs coming in at -135 and the Jets are at +115. The O/U is set at 5.5.

The Maple Leafs will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 6-3 defeat to the Canucks in the last game they played. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was sitting at 51 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 52 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 49.5%. Their offensive zone starts came in at 60.5% and they had a PDO at even strength of 86.9 in this one. Toronto compiled 4 mins in the box in this matchup. The Maple Leafs were neither impressive or disappointing offensively in the defeat. Their Fenwick came in at 38 and the Fenwick Against sat at 40, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 48.7%. They tallied 29 face-off victories at even strength and lost on 30 attempts to gain puck control. They also had 2 attempts on the power play and were able to notch 1 goal. In the game, they were able to notch a goal on 3 out of the 40 shots they put on net.

Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 119 power play opportunities (27th in pro hockey) and have earned 29 goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs have had 1,300 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .903. Toronto has taken 1,439 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.4%. While at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 97 goals while notching 120 as an offensive unit. Toronto comes into tonight with 130 power play opportunities and they have scored 29 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 22.31%. For the year, they have racked up 61 points and their points percentage sits at .663. With respect to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 149 goals (8th in the NHL) this season and have given up 126.

The player in the crease for this game is Jack Campbell. Campbell has been in goal for 78 matchups throughout his hockey career. He has accumulated an overall mark of 34-29-7 and got the start in 70 games. Opponents have been able to score 181 goals against Campbell in his pro hockey career and his goals against rate is 2.52. Campbell has seen 2,175 shot attempts against him and has amassed 1,994 saves. He has a save percentage of .917 during his 4,309 minutes on the ice. For his career, Campbell has accumulated 37 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .529.

In their last contest, Winnipeg opposed the Oilers in a game where the Jets ended up taking the loss by a final of 3-0. Their PDO was 94 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 45.0%. They had 3 power play chances in this game but didn't score a goal. Their Fenwick rate came in at 55.6% by amassing a Fenwick of 35 and the Oilers finishing with a 28 Fenwick. The Jets converted 0 goals of the 26 shots on goal they pursued. Winnipeg wound up with a 51.8% Corsi rating. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Winnipeg played and you might say they will look for a better outcome in their next outing.

Winnipeg has taken 1,332 shots (19th in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.81%, while allowing their opponents 1,387 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 80.33% on the other teams 122 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 91.5%. They have a total of 134 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 26.12%. The Jets have accumulated 109 goals at even strength and 35 goals (6th in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have permitted 118 goals to be scored by way of 94 goals at even strength and 24 goals while they were shorthanded. Over the course of the season, the Winnipeg Jets have earned a total of 144 goals, 57 points, in addition to a points percentage of .633.

Across the ice you are going to see Connor Hellebuyck in the crease. He is sitting with 8,480 stops out of 9,246 shots taken, giving him a save percentage of .917. Hellebuyck is the owner of a career record of 169-97-25 and has been in net for 306 games. He has made the start in 297 contests and has been on the ice for 17,542 mins. Hellebuyck's quality start rate comes out to 54.5% and he has earned 162 quality starts in his career. The opposition is averaging 2.62 goals/game and he has conceded 766 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-135)

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