Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction, 4/2/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets

Date: Friday, April 2, 2021

Location: Bell MTS Place in Winnipeg, MB

TV: TSN3

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-138) Jets (+115)

Bell MTS Place is the site where Connor Hellebuyck and the Winnipeg Jets (22-13-2) will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (23-10-3) on Friday. The Maple Leafs open this game at -138 while the Jets are coming in at +115. The over/under is set at 6.5.

The Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 3-1 win over the Jets in their last contest. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs sat at 32 and the Corsi against was at 41 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 43.8%. The offensive zone starts for them were at 38.7% and they had a PDO at even strength of 111.8 for this game. Toronto accrued 10 mins in the box in this game. The Maple Leafs played like an average offensive team in this win. Their Fenwick came in at 23 and the Fenwick against was 26, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 46.9%. They compiled 24 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 20 opportunities to gain puck control. They also had 5 power play tries but weren't able to score a goal. In the game, they converted 3 out of the 26 shots they tried.

Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have tallied 101 power play tries (23rd in pro hockey) and have notched 23 goals in those attempts. The Maple Leafs have had 1,009 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .909. Toronto has attempted 1,108 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.7%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs have conceded 69 goals while earning 93 themselves. Toronto has tallied 105 power play chances and they have tallied 26 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 24.76%. For the season, they have earned 49 points and their points percentage is sitting at .681. In reference to scoring goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 119 goals (6th in pro hockey) for the year and have given up 92.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Jack Campbell. Over the course of his pro career, Campbell has 35 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .556. He has a save percentage of .919 for his 3,932 mins guarding the cage. Campbell has had 1,994 shots against him and has recorded 1,833 saves. The opposition has notched 161 goals versus Campbell in his pro career and his goals against average is 2.46. He has amassed a record of 30-27-6 and he was named the starter in 63 games. Campbell has taken the ice for 71 contests over the course of his pro hockey career.

In their loss to Toronto, the Jets PDO at even strength was 88 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 61.3%. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this matchup and recorded 1 out of those opportunities. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 53.1% with a Fenwick of 26 and the Maple Leafs ending the game with a 23 Fenwick. The Jets tallied 1 goal of the 27 shots on goal they took. Winnipeg had a 56.2% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Winnipeg had and you might say they will look have a bounce back performance in their next game.

Winnipeg has taken 1,091 shots (9th in the NHL) and has earned a shot percentage of 11.00%, while allowing the other team 1,158 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 79.57% on the other teams 93 power play tries, and their save percentage is currently 91.3%. They have earned 107 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 26.17%. The Jets have accumulated 92 goals at even strength and 28 goals (7th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have granted a total of 101 goals to be scored by of a combination of 82 goals at even strength and 19 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the season, the Winnipeg Jets have a total of 120 goals, 46 points, and a points percentage of .622.

For the opposition you are likely to see Connor Hellebuyck protecting the goal. He has recorded 8,295 saves out of the 9,046 shots taken against him, giving him a rate of .917. Hellebuyck is the owner of a career mark of 165-95-24 and has played in 299 games. He has been a starter 290 contests and his ice time sits at 17,122 minutes. Hellebuyck's percentage of quality starts sits at 54.5% and he has qualified for 158 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. Opponents are averaging 2.63 goals per contest and he has surrendered 751 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Winnipeg (+115)

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