Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction, 12/5/2021 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets

Date: Sunday, December 5, 2021

Location: Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB

TV: TSN3

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-125) Jets (+104)

Connor Hellebuyck and the Winnipeg Jets (11-8-4) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (17-6-1) at Canada Life Centre on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Maple Leafs priced at -125 and the Jets are at +104. The over/under is set at 5.5.

The Maple Leafs had a good night with a 8-3 victory over the Avalanche their last time out. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs sat at 53 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 53 which means they had a Corsi rate of 50.0%. When starting in the offensive zone they sat at 45.9% and their PDO was 112.8 for this matchup. Toronto had 6 penalty minutes in this game. The Maple Leafs had a impressive offensive outing in this victory. Their Fenwick was 47 and the Fenwick against finished at 38, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 55.3%. They compiled 36 face-off victories at even strength and were beaten on 21 opportunities to gain puck control. In addition, they had 2 power play tries but didn't net one. In the game, they earned a goal on 8 out of the 41 shots they tried.

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The Maple Leafs have had 731 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .929. At even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 43 goals while having 59 on offense. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 64 power play tries (19th in the league) and have a total of 9 goals in those attempts. For the current campaign, they have earned 35 points and their points percentage sits at .729. Toronto has tried 819 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.0%. Pertaining to their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 74 goals (10th in the NHL) so far this season and have conceded 52. Toronto has compiled 64 power play chances and they have tallied 15 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 23.44%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Jack Campbell. Opponents have racked up 228 goals against Campbell in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.33. Campbell has been involved in 105 games during his professional hockey career. He has a save percentage of .922 during his 5,875 minutes between the pipes. He has compiled an overall mark of 53-34-9 and he has started in 96 games. Over the course of his pro career, Campbell has 57 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .594. Campbell has had 2,935 shots taken against him and has recorded 2,707 total saves.

When they were on the ice last, Winnipeg went up against the Devils in a game where the Jets took home the win by a tally of 8-4. They had a PDO at even strength of 111 and they had an oZS percentage of 51.7%. They had 4 attempts on the power play in this game and notched 1 goal out of those chances. Their Fenwick rate came in at 49.4% by notching a Fenwick of 41 and the Devils ending the game with a 42 Fenwick. The Jets had 8 goals out of the 40 shots on goal they pursued. Winnipeg wound up with a 50.0% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Winnipeg played and it was an excellent showing for this outing.

The Jets have tallied 55 goals at even strength and 12 goals (17th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Winnipeg has attempted 757 shots (11th in hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 8.85%, while allowing their opponents 723 shots. During this campaign, the Winnipeg Jets have 67 goals, 26 points, as well as a points percentage of .565. They have a total of 69 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 17.39%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 68.25% on their opponents 63 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 91.3%. They have permitted 63 goals to be scored by of a combination of 43 goals at even strength and 20 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you will find Connor Hellebuyck protecting the goal. Opponents are averaging 2.63 goals/game and he has given up 832 goals overall. Hellebuyck's rate of quality starts comes out to 55.4% and he has 179 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has made the start in 323 games and has played 19,001 mins. Hellebuyck has a career mark of 179-108-29 and has played in 332 contests. He has racked up 9,176 stops out of the 10,008 shots tried, giving him a percentage of .917.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-125)

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