Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks Prediction, 3/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks

Date: Thursday, March 4, 2021

Location: Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC

TV: TSN4

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-162) Canucks (+135)

Rogers Arena is the site where Braden Holtby and the Vancouver Canucks (9-15-2) will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (17-4-2) on Thursday. The Maple Leafs open this game at -162 while the Canucks are coming in at +135. The O/U has been set at 6.5.

The Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 3-0 win over the Oilers their last time on the ice. The Maple Leafs offense didn't overly impress in this victory. In the outing, they converted 3 out of the 23 shots they attempted. They also had 4 power play chances and were able to net 1 goal. Toronto amassed 38 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 29 and the Corsi against was 49 which means they had a Corsi rate of 37.2%. Their Fenwick was 22 and the Fenwick against was 37, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 37.3%. They had 12 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 21 attempts to win the puck. Their offensive zone starts were at 49.6% and they had a PDO at even strength of 112.5 for this one.

Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have totaled 72 power play tries (9th in the league) and have a total of 14 goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs have had 660 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .917. Toronto has attempted 681 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 11.9%. While at even strength, the Maple Leafs have conceded 41 goals while notching 58 themselves. Toronto has 72 power play opportunities and they have scored 23 goals during those chances, earning them a percentage of 31.94%. For the current season, they have 36 points and their points percentage is sitting at .783. When it comes to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 81 goals (1st in pro hockey) on the campaign and have allowed 55.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Frederik Andersen. Andersen has taken the ice for 385 contests over the course of his hockey career. He has a win-loss mark of 224-95-47 and he started in 374 games. The opposition has scored 970 goals against Andersen in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.63. Andersen has had 11,557 shots taken against him and has recorded 10,587 total saves. His save percentage is at .916 for his 22,136 mins between the pipes. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Andersen has compiled 216 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .578.

Their last time out, Vancouver squared up with the Jets in a game where the Canucks ended up taking the loss by a final of 5-2. Vancouver wrapped up this game with a 45.9% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Vancouver played and it tells us that they didn't have their best game. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 45.1% by way of having a Fenwick of 37 and the Jets having a 45 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO of 93 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 40.3%. The Canucks earned 2 goals out of the 33 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play opportunities in this one and tallied 1 out of those chances.

For the season, the Vancouver Canucks have accounted for 73 goals, 20 points, in addition to a points percentage of .385. They have allowed 90 goals to be scored by of a combination of 71 goals at even strength and 19 goals while they were shorthanded. The Canucks have earned 58 goals at even strength and 15 goals (16th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have earned 86 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 17.44%. Vancouver has attempted 811 shots (2nd in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 9.00%, while allowing the other team 854 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 80.41% on their opponents 97 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 89.5%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Braden Holtby protecting the net. His opponents are averaging 2.56 goals/game and he has conceded 1,172 goals altogether. Holtby's quality start rate sits at 57.4% and he has 269 quality starts in his career. He has started in 469 games and has been on the ice for 27,486 mins. Holtby holds a lifetime record of 286-128-47 and has played in 479 contests. He has recorded 12,680 saves out of the 13,852 shots attempted, giving him a percentage of .915.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Vancouver (+135)

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