Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 5/12/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Wednesday, May 12, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TVAS2

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-244) Senators (+192)

Canadian Tire Centre is the site where Marcus Hogberg and the Ottawa Senators (21-27-5) will play the Toronto Maple Leafs (34-13-6) on Wednesday. The Maple Leafs open this matchup at -244 while the Senators are coming in at +192. The O/U opens at 6.5.

The Maple Leafs came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 3-2 win over the Canadiens their last time out. Their offensive zone starts came in at 52.9% and their PDO was 101.0 in this one. They totaled 31 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 16 attempts to win the face-off. Their Fenwick was 37 and the Fenwick against finished at 28, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 56.9%. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs came in at 44 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 41 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 51.8%. Toronto accrued 4 minutes in the box in this game. Moreover, they had 2 power play attempts but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. The Maple Leafs had a middle of the road offensive outing in this victory. In the game, they earned a goal on 3 of the 26 shots they attempted.

Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have amassed 136 power play opportunities (29th in the league) and have racked up 31 goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs have had 1,506 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .907. Toronto has taken 1,682 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.8%. When at even strength, the Maple Leafs have given up 109 goals while getting 151 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto has accumulated 146 power play opportunities and they have scored 30 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 20.55%. For the season, they have accumulated 74 points and their points percentage is .698. When talking about their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have notched 181 goals (6th in the league) so far this season and have allowed 140.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Jack Campbell. Over the course of his pro career, Campbell has earned 42 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .545. He has a save percentage of .918 for his 4,732 mins between the pipes. Campbell has had 2,365 shots against him and has accrued 2,171 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 194 goals against Campbell in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.46. He has an overall record of 40-29-8 and he started in 77 games. Campbell has been involved in 85 contests throughout his hockey career.

In their last game, Ottawa faced the Flames in a game where the Senators ended up losing by a mark of 6-1. Their PDO at even strength was 91 and their percentage of oZS was 47.5%. They had 3 power play chances in this one but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. They had a Fenwick percentage of 37.0% by notching a Fenwick of 27 and the Flames having earned a 46 Fenwick at even strength. The Senators converted 1 goal of the 20 shots on goal they took. Ottawa went home with a 36.8% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Ottawa played and you could say that they have had better days on the ice.

The Senators have earned 125 goals at even strength and 26 goals (24th in the NHL) while on the power play. Ottawa has attempted 1,635 shots (15th in the NHL) and has earned a shot percentage of 9.24%, while allowing the opposition 1,766 shots. For the season, the Ottawa Senators are sitting with 151 goals, 47 points, as well as a points percentage of .443. They have earned 165 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play rate of 15.76%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 79.14% on their oppositions 163 tries on the power play, and their save percentage is 89.5%. They have granted a total of 186 goals to be scored by of a combination of 152 goals at even strength and 34 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the ice you are expected to see Marcus Hogberg in net. He has tallied 1,047 stops out of 1,171 shots attempted, which gives him a save % of .894. Hogberg has earned a lifetime record of 9-17-9 and has been in net for 42 games. He got the starting nod in 35 contests and has been on the ice for 2,193 mins. Hogberg's quality start percentage comes out to 40.0% and he has 14 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. Opponents are averaging 3.39 goals/game and he has surrendered 124 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Ottawa (+192)

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