Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 3/25/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Thursday, March 25, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-250) Senators (+210)

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (20-10-2) are headed to Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday where they'll take on the Ottawa Senators (11-20-3). The odds on this game have the Maple Leafs coming in at -250 and the Senators are at +210. The over/under opens at 6.5.

The Maple Leafs will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 2-0 win over the Flames in their last outing. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was sitting at 47 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 47 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 50.0%. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 45.2% and their PDO was 108.3 for this one. Toronto accumulated 8 mins in the box for this game. The Maple Leafs had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in this victory. Their Fenwick came in at 37 and the Fenwick Against sat at 33, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 52.9%. They amassed 23 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 25 opportunities to win the face-off. In addition, they had 4 chances on the power play but weren't able to make the most of them. While out there on the ice, they netted 2 out of the 33 shots they put on goal.

The Maple Leafs have had 908 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .909. When at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 61 goals while earning 81 of their own. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have totaled 92 power play tries (23rd in pro hockey) and have earned 22 goals in those attempts. For the current campaign, they have 42 points and their points percentage sits at .656. Toronto has attempted 979 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.9%. In regard to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 107 goals (3rd in the league) on the year and have surrendered 83. Toronto skates onto the rink with 94 power play chances and they have scored 26 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 27.66%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Frederik Andersen. Opponents have been able to score 993 goals versus Andersen in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.64. Andersen has played in 392 games over the course of his hockey career. His save percentage currently is at .915 during his 22,539 mins guarding the cage. He has compiled a record of 226-100-47 and he has started in 380 games. For his career, Andersen has accumulated 217 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .571. Andersen has seen 11,743 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 10,750 saves.

Their last time out, Ottawa faced the Flames in an outing where the Senators got the victory by a mark of 2-1. They had 2 power play chances in this matchup but weren't able to notch a goal. The Senators earned 2 goals of the 23 shots on goal they tried. They had a PDO of 107 and their percentage of oZS was 23.5%. Ottawa had a 39.2% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Ottawa played and we'd say it was a below average outing in all. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 38.0% with a Fenwick of 27 and the Flames having accrued a 44 Fenwick at even strength.

During this campaign, the Ottawa Senators have earned a total of 87 goals, 25 points, and a points percentage of .368. They have granted a total of 130 goals to be scored by of a combination of 104 goals at even strength and 26 goals while they were shorthanded. The Senators are sitting with 71 goals at even strength and 16 goals (26th in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have earned 111 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 14.41%. Ottawa has taken 1,074 shots (4th in the NHL) and has earned a shot percentage of 8.10%, while allowing the other team 1,089 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 75.00% on their opponents 104 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 88.1%.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-250)

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