Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 3/14/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Sunday, March 14, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TVAS

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-229) Senators (+201)

Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (19-7-2) head to Canadian Tire Centre on Sunday where they'll meet the Ottawa Senators (9-20-1). The Maple Leafs open this contest at -229 while the Senators are priced at +201. The O/U opens at 6.5.

The Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-3 win over the Jets the last time they stepped on the ice. The Maple Leafs had a good offensive outing and it showed in the win. For the game, they finished 4 of the 38 shots they tried. Additionally, they had 1 chance with extra men on the ice but weren't able to convert it into a goal. Toronto amassed 2 penalty mins in this outing. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 67 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 39 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 63.2%. Their Fenwick was 51 and the Fenwick against finished at 34, giving them a Fenwick rate of 60.0%. They amassed 33 face-off victories at even strength and lost on 25 opportunities to win the face-off. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 62.8% and their PDO rating was 100.2 for this matchup.

The Maple Leafs have had 796 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .912. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 52 goals while getting 71 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 79 power play opportunities (19th in the league) and have racked up 18 goals in those attempts. For the season, they have accumulated 40 points and their points percentage is .714. Toronto has tried 861 shots and has a shot percentage of 11.3%. When it comes to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 97 goals (2nd in pro hockey) on the season and have surrendered 70. Toronto comes into tonight with 83 power play opportunities and they have tallied 26 goals out of those chances, garnering them a percentage of 31.33%.

The man in net for this game is Jack Campbell. Opponents have been able to score 155 goals against Campbell in his career and his average for goals against per game is 2.52. Campbell has been in net for 67 games over the course of his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently is .918 for his 3,687 mins on the ice. He has amassed a mark of 26-27-6 and he was named the starter in 59 games. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Campbell has accumulated 32 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .542. Campbell has seen 1,885 shot attempts taken against him and has gathered 1,730 total saves.

Their last time out, Ottawa went up against the Oilers in an outing where the Senators took a loss by a final of 6-2. They had a PDO of 88 and their percentage of oZS was 20.1%. They had 2 chances on the power play in this outing and tallied 1 out of those attempts. Their Fenwick percentage was 45.1% by notching a Fenwick of 37 and the Oilers ending the game with a 45 Fenwick at even strength. The Senators scored 2 goals out of the 25 shots on goal they pursued. Ottawa wrapped up this game with a 50.5% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Ottawa played and you might say they will look have a bounce back performance in their next game.

On the year, the Ottawa Senators have earned a total of 77 goals, 19 points, in addition to a points percentage of .317. They have permitted 121 goals to be scored by of a combination of 95 goals at even strength and 26 goals while they were shorthanded. The Senators have 62 goals at even strength and 15 goals (23rd in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have recorded 100 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 15.00%. Ottawa has tried 942 shots (1st in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 8.17%, while allowing their opponents 960 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 73.74% on their opponents 99 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 87.4%.

For the opposition you are likely to see Matt Murray protecting the goal. His opponents are averaging 2.77 goals per contest and he has relinquished 578 goals altogether. Murray's percentage of quality starts is 51.2% and he has 109 quality starting assignments in his career. He has started in 213 contests and his ice time sits at 12,507 minutes. Murray holds a career record of 124-65-20 and has been in net for 221 contests. He has tallied 5,907 stops out of 6,485 shots tried, giving him a save percentage of .911.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-229)

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