Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 1/16/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, January 16, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: SNO

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-179) Senators (+144)

Matt Murray and the Ottawa Senators play the Toronto Maple Leafs at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Maple Leafs priced at -179 and the Senators are at +144. The total opens at 6.5.

The Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5 - 4 win over the Canadiens in their last contest. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive output and it showed in the win. In the game, they scored on 5 of the 34 shots they looked to score on. They also had 4 power play opportunities and were able to score 2 goals out of those chances. Toronto earned a total of 11 penalty mins while out there on the ice. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs sat at 58 and the Corsi against was 50 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 53.7%. Their Fenwick was 39 and the Fenwick against was 36, giving them a rate of 52.0%. They took 29 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 57.8% and they had a PDO of 104.2 in this game. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Montreal Canadiens tallied 32 shots. They had 13 minutes in the box and they earned 3 power play opportunities.

Protecting the net for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and totaled 3,007 minutes in net last season. Andersen conceded 2.85 GAA which had him placed 18th in the Eastern Conference and 37th in the NHL among goalies. For the season, he surrendered 143 goals. His save percentage was .909 which had him placed 17th in the Eastern Conference. The Maple Leafs racked up a total of 237 goals which put them at 2nd in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the NHL. Their goal differential was +15, which was good for 9th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs had a total of 81 pts, which put them at 11th in the NHL and 6th in the East. In terms of shots on goal, they had a total of 2,302 which put them at 2nd in the East and 4th in the NHL. As a unit, Toronto earned a total of 1,127 hits which means they averaged 16.1 per contest. They had a total of 779 blocks for the year.

The Senators played the Kings in a matchup where the Senators went home in defeat by a score of 3 - 2 in their last game of last season. Ottawa wound up with a 48.5% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 47 while they surrendered a Corsi of 50. They had a Fenwick percentage of 50.7% by earning a Fenwick of 36 and the Kings finishing with a 35 Fenwick. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Ottawa had and you can safely assume that they'll look to improve in their next outing. Their PDO was 102.1 and their percentage of oZS was 46.4%. The Senators netted 2 goals of the 26 shots on goal they took. They had 2 power play attempts in this game but weren't able to notch a goal. As for their opponent, the Kings had 4 power play opportunities and were able to tally 1 goal. Ottawa allowed 39 shots on goal and the Kings earned a total of 9 minutes in the box.

In goal for Ottawa is Matt Murray who had an average campaign by surrendering 2.87 goals per game and that had him 19th in the East and 38th in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 2,238 minutes he played, he gave up 107 goals. He earned a save percentage of .899, which put him at 27th in the East and 55th in the NHL among goaltenders. In respect to goal differential, Ottawa sat 15th in the East and 30th in the NHL with -48. They had a total of 190 goals for the season which had them ranked at 12th in the East. Ottawa had a team save % of .900 which had them ranked 23rd in the NHL, which means scoring chances could be there if they are opportunistic. They had a team shooting percentage of 8.7% which put them at 12th in the East.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-179)

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