Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 1/15/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Friday, January 15, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-179) Senators (+144)

Matt Murray and the Ottawa Senators host the Toronto Maple Leafs at Canadian Tire Centre on Friday. The line on this game has the Maple Leafs priced at -179 and the Senators are at +144. The O/U is set at 6.5.

The Maple Leafs had a rough game after their 3 - 0 loss to the Blue Jackets their last time out last season. The Maple Leafs had a below average offensive outing in this defeat. In the outing, they earned a goal on 0 of the 33 shots they looked to score on. Additionally, they had 1 power play chance but weren't able to net one. Toronto had a total of 4 penalty mins in this matchup. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 54 and the Corsi against was 42 which tells us they had a Corsi percentage of 56.3%. Their Fenwick sat at 40 and the Fenwick against was 27, which means they had a Fenwick percentage of 59.7%. They won 20 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 18 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 26.9% and they had a PDO of 85.7 for this matchup. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Columbus Blue Jackets tallied a total of 22 shots. They finished with 2 minutes in the box and they earned a total of 2 power play attempts.

The man protecting the goal for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and played a total of 3,007 mins protecting the goal last year. Andersen conceded 2.85 goals per game which had him ranking 18th among Eastern Conference goalies and 37th in the NHL among goaltenders. For the season, he allowed 143 goals. He had a save % of .909 which had him ranking 17th among Eastern Conference goalies. The Leafs converted a total of 237 goals which had them at 2nd in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the NHL. Their goal differential was +15, ranking them 9th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs had a total of 81 pts, which had them at 11th in the NHL and 6th in the conference. Inn respect to shots on goal, they had a total of 2,302 which had them at 2nd in the Eastern Conference and 4th in the NHL. As a group, Toronto had a total of 1,127 hits which means they had an average of 16.1 per game. They had a total of 779 blocks for the season.

The Senators opposed the Kings in a game where the Senators were on the wrong end of the score by a final of 3 - 2 in their final game of the season. Ottawa wound up with a 48.5% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 47 while they conceded a Corsi of 50. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 50.7% with a Fenwick of 36 and the Kings finishing with a 35 Fenwick. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Ottawa played and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their PDO at even strength was 102.1 and they had an oZS percentage of 46.4%. The Senators notched 2 goals of the 26 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 2 power play chances in this outing but weren't able to score a goal. Concerning their opponent, the Kings had 4 power play attempts and were able to tally 1 goal. Ottawa allowed 39 shots on goal and the Kings racked up a total of 9 penalty minutes.

In goal for Ottawa is Matt Murray who had an average year by surrendering 2.87 goals per game and that ranked him 19th among East goalies and 38th among goalies in the NHL. In the 2,238 mins he played last year, he allowed 107 goals. He had a save percentage of .899, which had him placed 27th among East goalies and 55th among goalies in the NHL. When discussing goal differential, Ottawa was 15th in the Eastern Conference and 30th in the league with -48. They compiled a total of 190 goals for the season which had them sitting at 12th in the Eastern Conference. Ottawa had a team save percentage of .900 which had them ranked 23rd in the league, which tells us scoring chances could be there if they are opportunistic. They had a team shooting percentage of 8.7% which was good for 12th in the Eastern Conference.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Ottawa (+144) and under 6.5 goals

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