Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 5/3/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Monday, May 3, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: TSN2

Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (32-13-5) go to Bell Centre on Monday where they'll take on the Montreal Canadiens (21-18-9).

The Maple Leafs went home feeling good about their game by earning a 4-1 victory over the Canucks the last time they stepped on the ice. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 64.0% and they had a PDO of 116.7 in this one. They totaled 20 face-off victories at even strength and lost on 24 opportunities to control the puck. Their Fenwick was 41 and the Fenwick against was 26, giving them a Fenwick rate of 61.2%. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs sat at 56 and the Corsi against was 41 which means they had a Corsi rate of 57.7%. Toronto compiled 5 penalty minutes in this game. Moreover, they had 1 power play opportunity but weren't able to score a goal. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive performance in this win. In the game, they converted 4 out of the 24 shots they launched.

The Maple Leafs have had 1,412 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .907. While playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 102 goals while having 136 on offense. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have totaled 128 power play opportunities (28th in professional hockey) and have notched 30 goals in those chances. For the current campaign, they have racked up 69 points and their points percentage comes in at .690. Toronto has taken 1,562 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.6%. In the matter of their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 166 goals (5th in the NHL) this season and have given up 132. Toronto has 138 power play chances and they have tallied 30 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 21.74%.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Jack Campbell. Campbell has taken the ice for 81 games over the course of his professional hockey career. He has accumulated a mark of 37-29-7 and was named the starter in 73 games. Opponents have racked up 186 goals against Campbell in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.49. Campbell has had 2,271 shots against him and has gathered 2,085 total saves. His save percentage currently sits at .918 for his 4,489 mins in the crease. Throughout his time in hockey, Campbell has accrued 40 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .548.

Their last time out, Montreal faced off against the Maple Leafs in an outing where the Canadiens took the loss by a mark of 4-1. Montreal wrapped up this game with a 57.6% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Montreal had and you could say that they have had better days on the ice. They had a Fenwick percentage of 51.7% by way of having a Fenwick of 30 and the Maple Leafs finishing with a 28 Fenwick. They had a PDO of 90 and their percentage of oZS was 55.6%. The Canadiens converted 1 goal out of the 33 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play attempts in this game but weren't able to notch a goal.

Montreal has put up 1,517 shots (9th in hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 8.97%, while allowing the opposition 1,353 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 77.12% on their oppositions 153 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.9%. They have a total of 131 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 19.08%. The Canadiens are sitting with 111 goals at even strength and 25 goals (25th in the league) while on the power play. They have allowed 137 goals to be scored by of a combination of 102 goals at even strength and 35 goals while they were shorthanded. During this campaign, the Montreal Canadiens have earned a total of 136 goals, 51 points, and a points percentage of .531.

Across the ice you will find Carey Price protecting the net. His opposition is averaging 2.50 goals per game and he has allowed 1,737 goals altogether. Price's percentage of quality starts comes in at 57.4% and he has 399 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has started in 695 games and has been on the ice for 41,707 mins. Price is sitting with a career mark of 360-257-79 and has been in net for 707 games. He has compiled 19,174 stops out of 20,911 shots attempted against him, giving him a save % of .917.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Montreal

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