Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 5/29/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Saturday, May 29, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-162) Canadiens (+135)

Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (35-14-7) are headed to Bell Centre on Saturday where they'll take on the Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11). The Maple Leafs open this game at -162 while the Canadiens are coming in at +135. The over/under is set at 5.5.

The Maple Leafs will need a bounce back game after taking a 4-3 defeat against the Canadiens in their previous contest. The Maple Leafs played like an average offensive team in the defeat. In the game, they converted 3 out of the 35 shots they put on goal. Furthermore, they had 1 power play try but didn't convert it into a score. Toronto garnered 2 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 50 and the Corsi against was at 49 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 50.5%. Their Fenwick was 40 and the Fenwick against was 37, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 51.9%. They garnered 28 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 28 opportunities to take control of the puck. Their offensive zone starts sat at 63.2% and they had a PDO of 95.3 for this game.

The Maple Leafs have had 1,558 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .905. When at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 117 goals while getting 155 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have amassed 144 power play opportunities (28th in the league) and have a total of 31 goals in those attempts. For the year, they have 77 points and their points percentage sits at .688. Toronto has attempted 1,751 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.6%. Pertaining to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have notched 186 goals (6th in the NHL) on the year and have allowed 148. Toronto has tallied 155 power play opportunities and they have notched 31 goals during those chances, garnering them a rate of 20.00%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Jack Campbell. Campbell has participated in 86 matchups over the course of his hockey career. He has earned an overall mark of 40-30-8 and was named the starter in 78 games. Opponents have tallied 197 goals versus Campbell in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.47. Campbell has had 2,388 shots taken against him and has recorded 2,191 saves. His save percentage is .918 in his 4,791 mins played. Throughout his time in hockey, Campbell has tallied 42 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .538.

In their last outing, Montreal faced the Maple Leafs in an outing where the Canadiens earned a win by a mark of 4-3. Montreal went home with a 49.5% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Montreal had and it was a good performance overall. Their Fenwick rate was 48.1% by tallying a Fenwick of 37 and the Maple Leafs having racked up a 40 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO at even strength of 105 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 36.8%. The Canadiens converted 4 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they took. They had 1 attempt on the power play in this one but didn't score a goal.

Montreal has taken 1,746 shots (7th in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.05%, while allowing their opponents 1,579 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 78.49% on their oppositions 172 power play chances, and their save percentage is currently 89.6%. They have a total of 151 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 19.21%. The Canadiens have racked up 129 goals at even strength and 29 goals (22nd in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have allowed 165 goals to be scored by way of 128 goals at even strength and 37 goals while they were shorthanded. For the year, the Montreal Canadiens have accounted for 158 goals, 59 points, in addition to a points percentage of .527.

Across the ice you are going to see Carey Price between the pipes. Price is the owner of a career record of 360-257-79 and has been in net for 707 contests. Price's quality start rate sits at 57.4% and he has 399 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has recorded 19,174 saves out of 20,911 shots taken, which gives him a percentage of .917. The opposition is averaging 2.50 goals/game and he has allowed 1,737 goals in total. He got the starting nod in 695 games and has played 41,707 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-162)

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