Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 5/25/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Tuesday, May 25, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-157) Canadiens (+142)

Bell Centre is the venue where Jake Allen and the Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11) will play the Toronto Maple Leafs (35-14-7) on Tuesday in Game 4 of their series. The series is tied 1-1. The Canadiens open this game at +142 while the Maple Leafs are coming in at -157. The over/under opens at 5.5.

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The Maple Leafs went home feeling good about their game by earning a 5-1 win over the Canadiens in Game 2. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 48 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 42 which means they had a Corsi rate of 53.3%. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 35.5% and they had a PDO of 106.7 for this one. Toronto garnered 24 penalty minutes for this contest. The Maple Leafs had a impressive offensive outing in this win. Their Fenwick came in at 36 and the Fenwick Against sat at 25, giving them a Fenwick rate of 59.0%. They earned 28 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 16 attempts to gain puck control. Furthermore, they had 6 power play chances and were able to notch 2 goals. For the game, they converted 5 out of the 34 shots they attempted.

The Maple Leafs have had 1,558 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .905. While playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 117 goals while getting 155 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 144 power play opportunities (28th in pro hockey) and have earned 31 goals in those chances. For the current season, they sit with 77 points and their points percentage is .688. Toronto has attempted 1,751 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.6%. In terms of their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 186 goals (6th in the NHL) so far this year and have allowed 148. Toronto skates onto the rink with 155 power play opportunities and they have notched 31 goals during those advantages, earning them a rate of 20.00%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Frederik Andersen. For his career, Andersen has recorded 217 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .570. His save percentage currently sits at .915 during his 22,598 mins on the ice. Andersen has had 11,771 shot attempts taken against him and he has 10,774 saves. Opponents have tallied 997 goals against Andersen in his pro career and his goals against average is 2.65. He has a record of 226-100-48 and he has started in 381 games. Andersen has taken the ice for 393 games over the course of his pro hockey career.

In Game 2 Montreal had 1 power play attempt in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. The Canadiens had 1 goal out of the 23 shots on goal they pursued. Their PDO was 93 and they earned an oZS percentage of 64.5%. Montreal wound up with a 46.7% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Montreal played and you might say they will look have a bounce back performance in their next game. Their Fenwick rate was 41.0% by accumulating a Fenwick of 25 and the Maple Leafs ending the game with a 36 Fenwick at even strength.

The Canadiens are sitting with 129 goals at even strength and 29 goals (22nd in hockey) while on the power play. Montreal has put up 1,746 shots (7th in professional hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 9.05%, while allowing the other team 1,579 shots. During this campaign, the Montreal Canadiens have 158 goals, 59 points, and a points percentage of .527. They have recorded 151 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 19.21%. They have a penalty kill rate of 78.49% on their opponents 172 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 89.6%. They have granted a total of 165 goals to be scored by of a combination of 128 goals at even strength and 37 goals while they were shorthanded.

For the opposition you will find Jake Allen patrolling the crease. Allen has compiled a lifetime mark of 159-106-31 and has participated in 318 games. Allen's quality start percentage is 53.7% and he has qualified for 160 quality starts in his pro hockey career. He has gathered 7,750 saves out of the 8,498 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .912. His opponents are averaging 2.52 goals per game and he has given up 748 goals overall. He got the starting nod in 298 games and has played 17,809 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-157)

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