Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 4/28/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: Sportsnet One

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-130) Canadiens (+110)

Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (30-13-5) are headed to Bell Centre on Wednesday where they'll take on the Montreal Canadiens (21-17-9). The Canadiens open this matchup at +110 while the Maple Leafs are coming in at -130. The O/U has been set at 6.

The Maple Leafs went home feeling good about their game by earning a 4-1 victory against the Jets in their previous outing. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 38 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 34 which means they had a Corsi rate of 52.8%. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 50.0% and their PDO was 111.1 in this game. Toronto recorded 22 minutes in the box in this matchup. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive outing and it was apparent in this win. Their Fenwick was 30 and the Fenwick against finished at 26, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 53.6%. They totaled 15 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 17 attempts to control the puck. In addition, they had 4 power play opportunities but weren't able to score a goal. For the game, they netted 4 out of the 37 shots they attempted.

In terms of their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 158 goals (8th in the NHL) for the year and have conceded 130. For the current campaign, they have recorded 65 points and their points percentage is .677. Toronto has tallied 135 power play chances and they have notched 29 goals during those chances, giving them a rate of 21.48%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have conceded 101 goals while notching 129 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto has taken 1,509 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.5%. The Maple Leafs have had 1,363 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .905. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 124 power play opportunities (28th in pro hockey) and have come away with 29 goals in those attempts.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Jack Campbell. Campbell has participated in 80 games over the course of his pro hockey career. He has an overall record of 36-29-7 and he was named the starter in 72 games. Opponents have notched 185 goals versus Campbell in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.51. Campbell has seen 2,238 shots taken against him and has accrued 2,053 saves. He has a save percentage of .917 for his 4,429 mins played. Over the course of his career, Campbell has accrued 39 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .542.

In their last outing, Montreal went up against the Flames in a game where the Canadiens earned a victory by a final of 2-1. They had 3 power play attempts in this game and netted 1 out of those opportunities. The Canadiens recorded 2 goals of the 24 shots on goal they pursued. Their PDO was 105 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 42.2%. Montreal wound up with a 52.4% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Montreal played and it tells us that they didn't have their best game. Their Fenwick rate came in at 48.4% by amassing a Fenwick of 30 and the Flames finishing with a 32 Fenwick.

The Canadiens have tallied 110 goals at even strength and 25 goals (24th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. Montreal has put up 1,484 shots (8th in pro hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 9.10%, while allowing the other team 1,324 shots. This season, the Montreal Canadiens have accounted for 135 goals, 51 points, and a points percentage of .543. They have a tally of 129 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 19.38%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 77.33% on their oppositions 150 chances on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.0%. They have granted a total of 133 goals to be scored by of a combination of 99 goals at even strength and 34 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you will find Jake Allen patrolling the crease. Allen holds a career mark of 157-103-30 and has been in goal for 311 contests. Allen's quality start rate comes out to 54.5% and he has 159 quality starting assignments in his career. He is sitting with 7,577 saves out of 8,303 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .913. The opposition is averaging 2.50 goals per game and he has surrendered 726 goals overall. He has started in 292 contests and his ice time sits at 17,405 minutes.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-130)

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