Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 4/12/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Monday, April 12, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-120) Canadiens (+100)

Bell Centre is the site where Jake Allen and the Montreal Canadiens (17-12-9) will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (28-10-3) on Monday. The Maple Leafs open this matchup at -120 while the Canadiens are coming in at +100. The total is set at 6.5.

The Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 6-5 win over the Senators in their last contest. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 59.3% and they had a PDO of 106.8 for this game. They accumulated 23 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 22 opportunities to win the puck. Their Fenwick was 45 and the Fenwick Against sat at 34, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 57.0%. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 57 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 43 which means they had a Corsi rate of 57.0%. Toronto had 2 penalty mins in this outing. Additionally, they had 1 power play opportunity but weren't able to notch a goal. The Maple Leafs had a good offensive outing in this win. For the outing, they finished 6 of the 38 shots they tried.

The Maple Leafs have had 1,170 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .910. While playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 81 goals while scoring 111 of their own. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have tallied 109 power play opportunities (26th in hockey) and have racked up 24 goals in those chances. For the season, they have recorded 59 points and their points percentage is .720. Toronto has tried 1,276 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.8%. In terms of their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 138 goals (3rd in pro hockey) this year and have allowed 105. Toronto has compiled 116 power play chances and they have notched 27 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 23.28%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Jack Campbell. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Campbell has compiled 37 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .552. He has a save percentage of .919 in his 4,176 mins on the ice. Campbell has had 2,121 shot attempts against him and he has 1,949 saves. The opposition has notched 172 goals against Campbell in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.47. He has amassed an overall mark of 34-27-6 and he has started in 67 games. Campbell has played in 75 contests over the course of his NHL career.

Their last time out, Montreal went up against the Jets in a matchup where the Canadiens took a loss by a mark of 5-0. Montreal had a 44.3% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Montreal had and you might say they will look for a better outcome in their next outing. Their Fenwick percentage was 40.0% by accumulating a Fenwick of 18 and the Jets having notched a 27 Fenwick. They had a PDO at even strength of 84 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 64.0%. The Canadiens recorded 0 goals out of the 19 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play opportunities in this contest but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.

So far this year, the Montreal Canadiens have accounted for 117 goals, 43 points, and a points percentage of .566. They have allowed 105 goals to be scored by way of 75 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they were shorthanded. The Canadiens are sitting with 96 goals at even strength and 21 goals (22nd in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have a tally of 105 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 20.00%. Montreal has attempted 1,259 shots (7th in hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 9.29%, while allowing their opponents 1,073 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 76.38% on their opponents 127 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 90.2%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Jake Allen defending the net. He has recorded 7,401 saves out of 8,111 shots taken against him, giving him a save percentage of .912. Allen is the owner of a career mark of 153-100-30 and has played in 304 games. He got the starting nod in 286 games and has played for a total of 17,009 mins. Allen's quality start percentage is 54.2% and he has made 155 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. His opponents are averaging 2.50 goals per game and he has surrendered 710 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-120)

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