Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, 2/27/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers

Date: Saturday, February 27, 2021

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NHL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-120) Oilers (+100)

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (15-4-2) travel to Rogers Place on Saturday where they'll meet the Edmonton Oilers (14-8-0). The line on this contest has the Maple Leafs coming in at -120 and the Oilers are at +100. The over/under is set at 6.5.

The Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 2-1 win against the Flames their last time out. Their offensive zone starts were at 55.9% and they had a PDO of 100.5 for this game. They recorded 25 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 16 attempts to take control of the puck. Their Fenwick was 49 and the Fenwick against was 27, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 64.5%. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 63 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 37 which means they had a Corsi rate of 63.0%. Toronto recorded 10 penalty mins in this game. Moreover, they had 4 attempts on the power play but weren't able to score a goal. The Maple Leafs didn't have their best offensive outing in this victory. For the game, they finished 2 of the 39 shots they attempted.

Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 68 power play opportunities (7th in the league) and have come away with 14 goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs have had 599 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .908. Toronto has tried 629 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.8%. When at even strength, the Maple Leafs have conceded 41 goals while having 53 on offense. Toronto skates onto the rink with 67 power play chances and they have scored 21 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 31.34%. For the current campaign, they have accumulated 32 points and their points percentage comes in at .762. In reference to their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 74 goals (2nd in the National Hockey League) on the campaign and have allowed 55.

The man in net for this game is Frederik Andersen. In his professional hockey career, Andersen is sitting with 216 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .578. His save percentage is at .916 for his 22,136 mins between the pipes. Andersen has seen 11,557 shot attempts against him and he has 10,587 total saves. The opposition has scored 970 goals versus Andersen in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.63. He has earned an overall mark of 224-95-47 and he started in 374 games. Andersen has participated in 385 contests throughout his hockey career.

In their last contest, Edmonton faced the Canucks in an outing where the Oilers notched a victory by a final of 3-0. Their PDO at even strength was 105 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 60.7%. They had 5 power play chances in this matchup and scored 2 out of those attempts. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 41.0% by accumulating a Fenwick of 25 and the Canucks having a 36 Fenwick. The Oilers recorded 3 goals of the 34 shots on goal they pursued. Edmonton earned a 43.0% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Edmonton had and we'd say they played an average game.

The Oilers are sitting with 57 goals at even strength and 22 goals (1st in the league) while on the power play. Edmonton has put up 679 shots (3rd in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.63%, while allowing the other team 715 shots. For the year, the Edmonton Oilers have tallied 79 goals, 28 points, and a points percentage of .636. They have earned 81 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 27.16%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 78.57% on their opponents 70 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.9%. They have permitted 65 goals to be scored by way of 50 goals at even strength and 15 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the ice you will find Mike Smith in the crease. He has accrued 16,406 stops out of 17,992 shots attempted, giving him a percentage of .912. Smith is sitting with a career record of 268-248-74 and has participated in 617 games. He has made the start in 577 games and has accumulated 35,214 minutes. Smith's quality start rate comes out to 53.2% and he has qualified for 307 quality starts in his NHL career. Teams are averaging 2.70 goals per game and he has surrendered 1,586 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Edmonton (+100)

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