Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Prediction, 4/5/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames

Date: Monday, April 5, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB

TV: TSN4

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-156) Flames (+120)

Scotiabank Saddledome is the site where David Rittich and the Calgary Flames (16-19-3) will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (24-10-3) on Monday. The odds on this contest have the Maple Leafs coming in at -156 and the Flames are at +120. The total is set at 5.5.

The Maple Leafs were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 2-1 win over the Jets in their last outing. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 52 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 54 which means they had a Corsi rate of 49.1%. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 58.2% and they had a PDO at even strength of 99.5 for this matchup. Toronto accrued 6 minutes in the box in this matchup. The Maple Leafs didn't have their best offensive outing in the victory. Their Fenwick was 43 and the Fenwick Against sat at 38, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 53.1%. They recorded 28 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 17 attempts to win the face-off. Moreover, they had 3 power play tries but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. For the outing, they were able to notch a goal on 2 of the 38 shots they tried.

In the matter of their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 120 goals (8th in the league) this season and have allowed 93. For the season, they have earned 51 points and their points percentage sits at .689. Toronto comes into tonight with 108 power play opportunities and they have notched 26 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 24.07%. While playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have surrendered 70 goals while earning 94 of their own. Toronto has taken 1,146 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 10.5%. The Maple Leafs have had 1,041 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .911. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have recorded 103 power play tries (24th in the NHL) and have come away with 23 goals in those chances.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Jack Campbell. Campbell has participated in 72 contests throughout his hockey career. He has earned an overall mark of 31-27-6 and he was named the starter in 64 games. The opposition has scored 162 goals against Campbell in his professional career and his goals against average per game is 2.43. Campbell has seen 2,026 shots against him and has recorded 1,864 total saves. His save percentage is .920 for his 3,997 mins in the crease. Over the course of his career, Campbell has earned 36 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .563.

Their last time out, Calgary faced off against the Oilers in a game where the Flames ended up taking the loss by a tally of 3-2. They had 2 attempts on the power play in this one but didn't score a goal. The Flames converted 2 goals out of the 26 shots on goal they attempted. Their PDO was 103 and they had an oZS percentage of 45.4%. Calgary went home with a 57.7% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Calgary played and it tells us that they didn't have their best game. Their Fenwick percentage was 57.1% by way of having a Fenwick of 32 and the Oilers ending the game with a 24 Fenwick at even strength.

The Flames are sitting with 71 goals at even strength and 26 goals (11th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Calgary has taken 1,128 shots (10th in the league) and has earned a shot percentage of 8.60%, while allowing their opponents 1,127 shots. On the year, the Calgary Flames have notched a total of 97 goals, 35 points, in addition to a points percentage of .461. They have a tally of 129 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 20.16%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 80.00% on their oppositions 125 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 89.9%. They have permitted 114 goals to be scored by way of 89 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they had less men on the ice.

On the other side of the ice you will find David Rittich defending the goal. He has a tally of 3,243 stops out of 3,572 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .908. Rittich is the owner of a career record of 63-38-15 and has played in 129 games. He has started in 117 games and has played 7,012 minutes. Rittich's quality start rate comes out to 56.4% and he has qualified for 66 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. Teams are averaging 2.81 goals per game and he has given up 329 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-156)

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