Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Prediction, 4/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames

Date: Sunday, April 4, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-156) Flames (+120)

Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (24-10-3) head to Scotiabank Saddledome on Sunday where they'll take on the Calgary Flames (16-19-3). The Flames open this game at +120 while the Maple Leafs are priced at -156. The O/U opens at 6.

The Maple Leafs will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 2-1 victory over the Jets in the last game they played. Their offensive zone starts were at 58.2% and their PDO rating was 99.5 for this one. They had a tally of 28 face-off victories when at even strength and were beaten on 17 attempts to control the puck. Their Fenwick was 43 and the Fenwick against was 38, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 53.1%. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs sat at 52 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 54 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 49.1%. Toronto earned 6 mins in the box for this matchup. They also had 3 power play tries but weren't able to score. The Maple Leafs offense left a lot to be desired in this win. For the game, they scored on 2 of the 38 shots they attempted.

In reference to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 120 goals (7th in the National Hockey League) for the season and have surrendered 93. For the year, they have accumulated 51 points and their points % is .689. Toronto comes into the game with 108 power play chances and they have added 26 goals out of those tries, garnering them a percentage of 24.07%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have conceded 70 goals while having 94 on offense. Toronto has attempted 1,146 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.5%. The Maple Leafs have had 1,041 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .911. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 103 power play opportunities (23rd in professional hockey) and have a total of 23 goals in those attempts.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Jack Campbell. Campbell has been involved in 72 games during his hockey career. He has earned a win-loss mark of 31-27-6 and he was named the starter in 64 games. The opposition has notched 162 goals versus Campbell in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 2.43. Campbell has seen 2,026 shots taken against him and has accrued 1,864 saves. He has a save percentage of .920 in his 3,997 minutes guarding the cage. For his professional hockey career, Campbell has compiled 36 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .563.

Their last time out, Calgary played the Oilers in a game where the Flames ended up taking the loss by a mark of 3-2. Calgary earned a 57.7% Corsi rating. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Calgary played and we're sure they will look for better performances in the future. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 57.1% with a Fenwick of 32 and the Oilers having racked up a 24 Fenwick. They had a PDO at even strength of 103 and they earned an oZS percentage of 45.4%. The Flames scored 2 goals of the 26 shots on goal they pursued. They had 2 attempts on the power play in this matchup but weren't able to score a goal.

The Flames have tallied 71 goals at even strength and 26 goals (11th in the NHL) while on the power play. Calgary has taken 1,128 shots (7th in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 8.60%, while allowing the opposition 1,127 shots. This season, the Calgary Flames have accounted for 97 goals, 35 points, in addition to a points percentage of .461. They have earned 129 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 20.16%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 80.00% on their opponents 125 tries on the power play, and their save percentage is currently 89.9%. They have allowed 114 goals to be scored by way of 89 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they were shorthanded.

For the opposition you will find Jacob Markstrom defending the goal. Markstrom holds a career mark of 122-131-34 and has been in net for 299 games. Markstrom's percentage of quality starts is 51.2% and he has 145 quality starts in his career. He has a tally of 8,028 saves out of 8,824 shots attempted, which gives him a rate of .910. His opposition is averaging 2.82 goals per game and he has conceded 796 goals altogether. He has started in 283 games and has played 16,961 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-156)

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