Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Prediction, 1/26/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames

Date: Tuesday, January 26, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Calgary, AB

TV: SN1

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-110) Flames (-110)

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (5-2-0) go to Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday where they'll take on the Calgary Flames (2-1-1). The odds on this game have the Maple Leafs priced at -110 and the Flames are at -110. The over/under opens at 6.5.

The Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 3 - 2 win against the Flames in their previous game. The Maple Leafs offense didn't overly impress in the victory. For the game, they netted 3 of the 32 shots they looked to score on. In addition, they had 4 power play chances and were able to score 1 goal out of those chances. Toronto racked up a total of 8 penalty mins while out there on the ice. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 37 and the Corsi against was 54 giving them a Corsi percentage of 40.7%. Their Fenwick was 34 and the Fenwick against was 42, which means they had a Fenwick percentage of 44.7%. They earned 20 face-off wins and were beaten on 18 of the face-offs. Their offensive zone starts came in at 39.2% and they had a PDO at even strength of 104.1 in this one. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Calgary Flames racked up 33 shots. They finished with 8 penalty mins and they earned 4 power play chances.

When it comes to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 22 goals (2nd in the National Hockey League) this season and have allowed 19. For the year, they have recorded 10 points and their points percentage is sitting at .714. Toronto is sitting with 22 power play chances and they have scored 9 goals out of those tries, garnering them a percentage of 40.91%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have surrendered 13 goals while having 13. Toronto has tried 222 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 9.9%. The Maple Leafs have had 190 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .900. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have totaled 26 power play tries (4th in the NHL) and have a total of 5 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the net in this game is Frederik Andersen. Opponents have been able to score 941 goals against Andersen in his professional career and his average for goals against per game is 2.63. Andersen has participated in 374 contests over the course of his NHL career. His save percentage currently sits at .916 during his 21,477 minutes on the ice. He has accumulated an overall mark of 216-94-45 and he has started in 363 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Andersen has 211 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .581. Andersen has had 11,240 shots taken against him and he has 10,299 saves.

In their loss to Toronto, Calgary wound up with a 59.3% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by earning a Corsi of 54 and they gave up a Corsi of 37. Their Fenwick percentage was 55.3% by notching a Fenwick of 42 and the Maple Leafs finishing with a 34 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Calgary had and you can safely assume that they'll look to improve in their next outing. Their PDO at even strength was 95.9 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 60.8%. The Flames netted 2 goals of the 33 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 power play chances in this game and scored 1 out of those attempts. Concerning the opposition, the Maple Leafs had 4 power play opportunities and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. Calgary gave up 32 shots on goal and the Maple Leafs had a total of 8 penalty mins.

The Flames have 6 goals at even strength and 7 goals (5th in pro hockey) while on the power play. Calgary has taken 126 shots (28th in the NHL) and has a shot percentage of 10.32%, while allowing the other team 125 shots. So far this season, the Calgary Flames have earned a total of 13 goals, 5 points, as well as a points percentage of .625. They have recorded 20 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 35.00%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 87.50% on their opponents 16 chances on the power play, and their save percentage is 10.3%. They have allowed 9 goals to be scored by way of 6 goals at even strength and 2 goals while they were shorthanded.

For the opposition you are likely to see Jacob Markstrom defending the net. He has tallied 7,452 stops out of the 8,181 shots attempted, which gives him a save % of .911. Markstrom has amassed a career record of 112-119-33 and has been in goal for 276 contests. He has made the start in 260 games and has been on the ice for 15,649 mins. Markstrom's rate of quality starts comes out to 52.3% and he has made 136 quality starts in his pro hockey career. His opponents are averaging 2.80 goals/game and he has allowed 729 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Calgary (-110)

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