Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 11/13/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSG Network

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-200) Sabres (+150)

Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs travel to KeyBank Center on Saturday where they'll take on the Buffalo Sabres. The Sabres open this game at +150 while the Maple Leafs are priced at -200. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Maple Leafs had a good night with a 3-0 win over the Flyers in their previous contest. The Maple Leafs had an average offensive outing in the victory. While out there on the ice, they netted 3 out of the 33 shots they looked to score on. In addition, they had 3 power play chances and scored 1 goal. Toronto recorded 6 penalty minutes in this contest. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 40 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 57 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 41.2%. Their Fenwick came in at 30 and the Fenwick against was 43, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 41.1%. They garnered 23 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 27 opportunities to win the puck. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 38.2% and they had a PDO at even strength of 108.0 for this one.

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In the matter of their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 36 goals (17th in the league) over the course of the season and have conceded 37. For the current campaign, they have scored 17 points and their points percentage is sitting at .607. Toronto steps onto the ice with 40 power play opportunities and they have scored 10 goals out of those chances, earning them a percentage of 25.00%. When at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 31 goals while notching 26 themselves. Toronto has tried 483 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 7.5%. The Maple Leafs have had 432 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .914. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have tallied 44 power play tries (9th in the league) and have come away with 6 goals in those attempts.

The man in net for this game is Jack Campbell. The opposition has notched 218 goals versus Campbell in his professional career and his goals against average per game is 2.40. Campbell has participated in 98 games over the course of his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently is at .920 during his 5,454 mins guarding the cage. He has accumulated a record of 47-33-9 and he was named the starter in 89 games. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Campbell has earned 50 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .562. Campbell has had 2,718 shots against him and has garnered 2,500 total saves.

When they were on the ice last, Buffalo played the Capitals in a matchup where the Sabres went home in defeat by a mark of 5-3. Their PDO at even strength was 96 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 50.2%. They had 3 power play attempts in this contest but didn't score a goal. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 51.5% with a Fenwick of 35 and the Capitals finishing with a 33 Fenwick at even strength. The Sabres converted 3 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they tried. Buffalo had a 57.0% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Buffalo had and it tells us they had an average game overall.

So far this year, the Buffalo Sabres have earned a total of 35 goals, 12 points, in addition to a points percentage of .500. They have permitted 36 goals to be scored by way of 32 goals at even strength and 4 goals while they were shorthanded. The Sabres have accumulated 27 goals at even strength and 8 goals (19th in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have recorded 32 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 25.00%. Buffalo has tried 360 shots (25th in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 9.72%, while allowing the other team 386 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 87.50% on the other teams 32 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.7%.

Across the ice you are going to see Aaron Dell in net. He has tallied 2,773 stops out of the 3,061 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .906. Dell is the owner of a lifetime mark of 49-39-12 and has played in 114 contests. He has made the start in 94 contests and has accumulated 6,109 mins. Dell's percentage of quality starts comes out to 47.9% and he has 45 quality starting assignments in his career. His opponents are averaging 2.83 goals per contest and he has surrendered 288 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-200)

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