Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 11/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Thursday, November 4, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+110) Maple Leafs (-156)

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning head to Scotiabank Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Toronto Maple Leafs. The moneyline on this contest has the Lightning coming in at +110 and the Maple Leafs are at -156. The over/under is set at 6.5.

The Lightning had a good night with a 3-2 win against the Capitals in their last contest. The Corsi for the Lightning was 33 and the Corsi against was 38 which means they had a Corsi rate of 46.5%. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 30.7% and they had a PDO of 106.8 for this matchup. Tampa Bay amassed 10 penalty minutes for this contest. The Lightning had a middle of the road showing in the victory. Their Fenwick came in at 24 and the Fenwick against finished at 32, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 42.9%. They compiled 21 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 18 opportunities to win the puck. Moreover, they had 4 power play opportunities and scored 1 goal. In the game, they finished 3 out of the 26 shots they put on goal.

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Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have recorded 31 power play opportunities (14th in pro hockey) and have earned 5 goals in those chances. The Lightning have had 265 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .891. Tampa Bay has taken 284 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.2%. While playing at even strength, the Lightning have surrendered 24 goals while notching 24 of their own. Tampa Bay has 30 power play opportunities and they have tallied 5 goals out of those advantages, earning them a percentage of 16.67%. For the current campaign, they have recorded 11 points and their points % is .611. With regard to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accounted for 29 goals (9th in hockey) so far this year and have given up 29.

The man protecting the net in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has taken the ice for 310 games throughout his hockey career. He has amassed a record of 195-85-20 and he has started in 300 games. Opponents have scored 756 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his career and his goals against rate is 2.50. Vasilevskiy has had 9,407 shots taken against him and has recorded 8,651 saves. He has a save percentage of .920 during his 18,116 mins played. In his career, Vasilevskiy has accounted for 168 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .560.

In their last contest, Toronto faced off against the Golden Knights in a game where the Maple Leafs took home the victory by a score of 4-0. Toronto wrapped up this game with a 57.7% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Toronto played and it was an excellent showing for this outing. Their Fenwick percentage was 54.5% by amassing a Fenwick of 36 and the Golden Knights ending the game with a 30 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO at even strength of 111 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 67.7%. The Maple Leafs earned 4 goals of the 33 shots on goal they tried. They had 1 opportunity on the power play in this contest and scored 1 goal on that try.

So far this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs are sitting with 25 goals, 11 points, in addition to a points percentage of .550. They have permitted 29 goals to be scored by way of 24 goals at even strength and 5 goals while they were shorthanded. The Maple Leafs have 20 goals at even strength and 5 goals (20th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have earned 28 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 17.86%. Toronto has tried 346 shots (1st in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 7.23%, while allowing the other team 298 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 84.38% on their opponents 32 power play tries, and their save percentage is 90.3%.

Across the rink you will find Jack Campbell patrolling the crease. Campbell is the owner of a lifetime record of 44-32-9 and has been in net for 94 games. Campbell's rate of quality starts comes in at 56.5% and he has 48 quality starting assignments in his career. He has accrued 2,374 saves out of the 2,585 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .918. Opponents are averaging 2.43 goals/game and he has surrendered 211 goals overall. He has started in 85 contests and has been on the ice for 5,214 mins.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+110)

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