Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 12/5/2021 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Sunday, December 5, 2021

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-125) Flyers (+104)

Wells Fargo Center is the site where Carter Hart and the Philadelphia Flyers (8-9-4) will play the Tampa Bay Lightning (13-5-4) on Sunday. The Flyers open this game at +104 while the Lightning are priced at -125. The total is set at 5.5.

The Lightning had a good night with a 4-2 win over the Blues in their last game. When starting in the offensive zone they sat at 39.3% and their PDO rating was 109.7 in this game. They compiled 24 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 20 opportunities to win the face-off. Their Fenwick came in at 39 and the Fenwick Against sat at 30, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 56.5%. The Corsi for the Lightning came in at 48 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 47 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 50.5%. Tampa Bay accounted for 6 penalty minutes in this contest. In addition, they had 3 power play chances and notched 1 goal. The Lightning had a impressive offensive output in the victory. In the game, they scored on 4 of the 35 shots they attempted.

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In the matter of their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 69 goals (13th in the National Hockey League) over the course of the season and have conceded 60. For the season, they have scored 30 points and their points percentage is sitting at .682. Tampa Bay skates onto the rink with 66 power play opportunities and they have scored 13 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 19.70%. When playing at even strength, the Lightning have surrendered 49 goals while scoring 56 themselves. Tampa Bay has taken 661 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.4%. The Lightning have had 649 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .908. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 69 power play opportunities (12th in hockey) and have a total of 11 goals in those attempts.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. The opposition has notched 775 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.48. Vasilevskiy has been in net for 320 games throughout his pro hockey career. His save percentage sits at .920 during his 18,723 minutes in the crease. He has earned a record of 201-87-22 and he started in 310 games. Over the course of his pro career, Vasilevskiy has accounted for 176 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .568. Vasilevskiy has seen 9,697 shots against him and has accrued 8,922 total saves.

In their last contest, Philadelphia squared up with the Rangers in an outing where the Flyers took a loss by a score of 4-1. Philadelphia had a 51.2% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Philadelphia had and we'd say it was a below average outing in all. Their Fenwick percentage was 51.6% by amassing a Fenwick of 32 and the Rangers ending the game with a 30 Fenwick. They had a PDO at even strength of 94 and their percentage of oZS was 52.0%. The Flyers notched 1 goal out of the 34 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 3 power play attempts in this contest but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.

The Flyers have earned 42 goals at even strength and 8 goals (30th in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. Philadelphia has attempted 652 shots (25th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 7.67%, while allowing the other team 725 shots. On the year, the Philadelphia Flyers have a total of 50 goals, 20 points, as well as a points percentage of .476. They have recorded 64 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 12.50%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 83.58% on the other teams 67 power play tries, and their save percentage is currently 91.3%. They have granted a total of 63 goals to be scored by way of 52 goals at even strength and 11 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the rink you are likely to see Carter Hart in the crease. He has compiled 2,961 saves out of the 3,264 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .907. Hart is sitting with a career record of 54-43-12 and has participated in 115 games. He has made the start in 109 games and his ice time sits at 6,374 minutes. Hart's quality start rate sits at 50.5% and he has earned 55 quality starts in his professional career. The opposition is averaging 2.85 goals per game and he has conceded 303 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+104)

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