Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 11/18/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Thursday, November 18, 2021

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-127) Flyers (+106)

Wells Fargo Center is the site where Carter Hart and the Philadelphia Flyers (8-4-2) will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (8-3-3) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has the Lightning coming in at -127 and the Flyers are at +106. The total has been set at 6.

The Lightning will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 4-1 win against the Islanders the last time they stepped on the ice. The Corsi for the Lightning came in at 40 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 42 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 48.8%. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 33.3% and they had a PDO at even strength of 110.1 in this one. Tampa Bay earned 30 mins in the box in this game. The Lightning had a solid offensive outing in the victory. Their Fenwick came in at 33 and the Fenwick against finished at 32, giving them a Fenwick rate of 50.8%. They totaled 17 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 23 opportunities to take control of the puck. In addition, they had 4 power play opportunities and notched 1 goal. In the game, they converted 4 of the 28 shots they attempted.

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With respect to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 43 goals (16th in the NHL) this year and have conceded 39. For the current campaign, they have recorded 19 points and their points percentage is .679. Tampa Bay has 42 power play chances and they have notched 8 goals out of those attempts, earning them a percentage of 19.05%. When playing at even strength, the Lightning let the opposition score 32 goals while having 35 of their own. Tampa Bay has attempted 412 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.4%. The Lightning have had 411 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .905. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have tallied 47 power play opportunities (15th in the league) and have come away with 7 goals in those attempts.

The player in the crease for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has been involved in 314 matchups over the course of his NHL career. He has amassed an overall mark of 197-85-22 and he started in 304 games. Opponents have been able to score 763 goals against Vasilevskiy in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.49. Vasilevskiy has had 9,526 shots against him and he has 8,763 total saves. His save percentage is at .920 during his 18,364 mins guarding the cage. During his career on the ice, Vasilevskiy has accounted for 172 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .566.

In their last game, Philadelphia squared up with the Flames in a matchup where the Flyers took home the victory by a score of 2-1. Philadelphia went home with a 57.0% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Philadelphia played and you could say that they have had better days on the ice. Their Fenwick percentage was 61.0% with a Fenwick of 47 and the Flames ending the game with a 30 Fenwick. They had a PDO of 102 and their percentage of oZS was 38.1%. The Flyers recorded 2 goals of the 43 shots on goal they pursued. They had 6 opportunities on the power play in this contest but weren't able to notch a goal.

The Flyers are sitting with 31 goals at even strength and 7 goals (24th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Philadelphia has taken 442 shots (19th in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 8.60%, while allowing the other team 470 shots. So far this year, the Philadelphia Flyers have earned 38 goals, 18 points, in addition to a points percentage of .643. They have a tally of 47 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 14.89%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 83.33% on their opponents 48 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently comes in at 92.8%. They have permitted 34 goals to be scored by of a combination of 26 goals at even strength and 8 goals while they had less men on the ice.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Carter Hart patrolling the crease. He has a tally of 2,847 stops out of 3,134 shots taken, which gives him a rate of .908. Hart holds a career mark of 54-40-11 and has played in 111 games. He has made the start in 105 contests and has racked up 6,132 minutes. Hart's percentage of quality starts is 52.4% and he has qualified for 55 quality starting assignments in his pro career. The opposition is averaging 2.81 goals per game and he has relinquished 287 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+106)

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