Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 11/6/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, November 6, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+130) Senators (+240)

Canadian Tire Centre is the site where Anton Forsberg and the Ottawa Senators (3-6-1) will play the Tampa Bay Lightning (5-3-2) on Saturday. The Lightning open this game at +130 while the Senators are priced at +240. The O/U is set at 6.5.

The Lightning will need a bounce back game after taking a 2-1 defeat to the Maple Leafs in their previous outing. The Lightning had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in this loss. In the game, they tallied a score on 1 out of the 25 shots they tried. Furthermore, they had 1 chance on the power play but weren't able to score a goal. Tampa Bay amassed 4 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Lightning was 45 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 52 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 46.4%. Their Fenwick came in at 37 and the Fenwick against was 36, giving them a Fenwick rate of 50.7%. They had a tally of 25 face-off victories at even strength and were beaten on 24 opportunities to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were at 47.4% and they had a PDO at even strength of 100.6 for this matchup.

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Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have earned 34 power play opportunities (10th in hockey) and have come away with 6 goals in those attempts. The Lightning have had 299 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .896. Tampa Bay has tried 309 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.7%. When at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 25 goals while getting 25 as an offensive unit. Tampa Bay has accumulated 31 power play opportunities and they have notched 5 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 16.13%. For the year, they have 12 points and their points percentage is .600. Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have tallied 30 goals (11th in the league) on the campaign and have given up 31.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over the course of his pro career, Vasilevskiy has accumulated 169 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .561. He has a save percentage of .920 for his 18,179 minutes guarding the cage. Vasilevskiy has had 9,441 shot attempts against him and has gathered 8,683 total saves. The opposition has notched 758 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.50. He has compiled a mark of 195-85-21 and got the start in 301 games. Vasilevskiy has participated in 311 games throughout his NHL career.

Their last time out, Ottawa played the Golden Knights in a game where the Senators took the loss by a tally of 5-1. They had a PDO at even strength of 89 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 54.5%. They had 1 power play attempt in this outing but didn't score a goal. Their Fenwick rate came in at 48.4% by notching a Fenwick of 46 and the Golden Knights having earned a 49 Fenwick at even strength. The Senators recorded 1 goal out of the 39 shots on goal they pursued. Ottawa earned a 47.9% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Ottawa played and it tells us that they didn't have their best game.

On the season, the Ottawa Senators have tallied 25 goals, 7 points, in addition to a points percentage of .350. They have allowed 35 goals to be scored by of a combination of 28 goals at even strength and 7 goals while they were shorthanded. The Senators have accumulated 18 goals at even strength and 7 goals (15th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have recorded 31 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 22.58%. Ottawa has attempted 301 shots (17th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 8.31%, while allowing the opposition 344 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 74.07% on their opponents 27 power play tries, and their save percentage sits at 89.8%.

Across the ice you are expected to see Anton Forsberg defending the goal. Teams are averaging 3.29 goals/game and he has conceded 161 goals altogether. Forsberg's quality start rate comes out to 43.4% and he has made 23 quality starts in his hockey career. He has started in 53 contests and has been on the ice for 2,937 mins. Forsberg is the owner of a lifetime record of 16-31-5 and has been in net for 60 games. He has compiled 1,471 stops out of the 1,632 shots taken, which gives him a rate of .901.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+130)

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