Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction, 6/23/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders

Date: Wednesday, June 23, 2021

Location: Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Uniondale, NY

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-150) Islanders (+125)

Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum is the site where Semyon Varlamov and the New York Islanders (32-17-7) will play the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3) on Wednesday in Game 6 of their series. Tampa leads 3-2. The Lightning open this matchup at -150 while the Islanders are priced at +125. The over/under is set at 5.5.

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The Lightning cruised to a 8-0 win over the Islanders in Game 5. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 48.3% and they had a PDO of 116.1 for this matchup. They had a tally of 19 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 24 opportunities to win the puck. Their Fenwick was 38 and the Fenwick against was 24, giving them a Fenwick rate of 61.3%. The Corsi for the Lightning was sitting at 43 and the Corsi against was 34 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 55.8%. Tampa Bay garnered 57 mins in the box in this game. Additionally, they had 6 chances on the power play and were able to net 3 goals. The Lightning had a impressive offensive outing in this victory. In the game, they scored on 8 of the 42 shots they tried.

Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have earned 183 power play tries (2nd in hockey) and have notched 29 goals in those chances. The Lightning have had 1,583 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .908. Tampa Bay has attempted 1,692 shots and has a shot percentage of 10.6%. While playing at even strength, the Lightning have surrendered 116 goals while earning 140 as an offensive unit. Tampa Bay has compiled 180 power play chances and they have added 40 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 22.22%. For the current campaign, they have racked up 75 points and their points percentage comes in at .670. Pertaining to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accounted for 180 goals (8th in the National Hockey League) this season and have given up 145.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. The opposition has scored 736 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his pro hockey career and his goals against rate is 2.51. Vasilevskiy has been involved in 302 games over the course of his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .920 for his 17,629 minutes in the crease. He has amassed a record of Career and he was named the starter in 292 games. During his career on the ice, Vasilevskiy has accrued 164 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .562. Vasilevskiy has had 9,171 shots against him and has recorded 8,435 total saves.

In their Game 5 loss, New York earned a 44.2% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that New York had and you can safely assume that they'll look to improve in their next outing. Their Fenwick percentage was 38.7% by earning a Fenwick of 24 and the Lightning having earned a 38 Fenwick. They had a PDO of 84 and their percentage of oZS was 51.7%. The Islanders had 0 goals of the 21 shots on goal they pursued. They had 2 power play attempts in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net.

Over the course of the season, the New York Islanders have earned 152 goals, 71 points, in addition to a points percentage of .634. They have permitted 125 goals to be scored by of a combination of 103 goals at even strength and 22 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Islanders are sitting with 125 goals at even strength and 27 goals (24th in professional hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have a total of 144 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 18.75%. New York has tried 1,623 shots (22nd in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 9.37%, while allowing the opposition 1,590 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 83.70% on their opponents 135 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 92.1%.

Across the rink you are expected to see Semyon Varlamov between the pipes. He is sitting with 14,532 saves out of the 15,859 shots taken, which gives him a save percentage of .916. Varlamov has accrued a lifetime record of Career and has participated in 529 contests. He was named a starter in 505 games and has played for a total of 30,305 mins. Varlamov's percentage of quality starts is 56.6% and he has made 286 quality starts in his NHL career. His opponents are averaging 2.63 goals per contest and he has allowed 1,327 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-150)

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