Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction, 6/19/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders

Date: Saturday, June 19, 2021

Location: Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Uniondale, NY

TV: USA

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-125) Islanders (+115)

Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum is the venue where Semyon Varlamov and the New York Islanders (32-17-7) will play the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3) on Saturday in Game 4 of their series. Tampa leads 2-1. The Islanders open this matchup at +115 while the Lightning are coming in at -125. The O/U opens at 5.

The Lightning had a good night with a 2-1 win over the Islanders in Game 3. The Corsi for the Lightning was sitting at 48 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 57 which means they had a Corsi rate of 45.7%. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 58.1% and their PDO was 104.6 for this one. Tampa Bay recorded 2 penalty minutes for this game. The Lightning could have played much better offensively in the victory. Their Fenwick was 34 and the Fenwick against was 39, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 46.6%. They compiled 25 face-off victories at even strength and lost on 20 attempts to control the puck. Moreover, they had 1 chance with the advantage but weren't able to net one. For the game, they scored on 2 of the 25 shots they put on goal.

The Lightning have had 1,583 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .908. While playing at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 116 goals while having 140 on the offensive side of the ice. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 183 power play tries (2nd in the NHL) and have notched 29 goals in those chances. For the year, they have accumulated 75 points and their points percentage is sitting at .670. Tampa Bay has taken 1,692 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.6%. In regard to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have racked up 180 goals (8th in the NHL) over the course of the season and have surrendered 145. Tampa Bay is sitting with 180 power play chances and they have tallied 40 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 22.22%.

The man protecting the net in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has participated in 302 matchups over the course of his NHL career. He has accumulated a mark of Career and he started in 292 games. The opposition has been able to score 736 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.51. Vasilevskiy has had 9,171 shot attempts taken against him and has garnered 8,435 saves. His save percentage currently is .920 in his 17,629 minutes on the ice. During his career on the ice, Vasilevskiy has tallied 164 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .562.

In their Game 3 loss, New York earned a 54.3% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that New York played and it could be said that this team has had better games. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 53.4% by compiling a Fenwick of 39 and the Lightning having accrued a 34 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO at even strength of 95 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 41.9%. The Islanders converted 1 goal of the 28 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 1 attempt on the power play in this matchup but weren't able to score a goal.

For the season, the New York Islanders have a total of 152 goals, 71 points, in addition to a points percentage of .634. They have permitted 125 goals to be scored by way of 103 goals at even strength and 22 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Islanders have accumulated 125 goals at even strength and 27 goals (24th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have a total of 144 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 18.75%. New York has attempted 1,623 shots (22nd in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 9.37%, while allowing the opposition 1,590 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 83.70% on the other teams 135 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 92.1%.

Across the ice you will find Semyon Varlamov protecting the goal. He has a tally of 14,532 saves out of 15,859 shots attempted, which gives him a percentage of .916. Varlamov is the owner of a career mark of Career and has played in 529 games. He has made the start in 505 games and has played 30,305 mins. Varlamov's quality start rate sits at 56.6% and he has 286 quality starts in his hockey career. His opponents are averaging 2.63 goals per contest and he has surrendered 1,327 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-125)

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