Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction, 6/17/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders

Date: Thursday, June 17, 2021

Location: Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Uniondale, NY

TV: USA

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+125) Islanders (-145)

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3) head to Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum on Thursday where they'll take on the New York Islanders (32-17-7) in Game 3 of their series. The series is tied 1-1.The Lightning open this game at +125 while the Islanders are coming in at -145. The over/under opens at 5.5.

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The Lightning went home feeling good about their game by earning a 4-2 victory over the Islanders in Game 2. Their offensive zone starts sat at 44.3% and they had a PDO of 106.9 in this one. They recorded 19 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 19 attempts to win the puck. Their Fenwick was 29 and the Fenwick against finished at 25, giving them a Fenwick rate of 53.7%. The Corsi for the Lightning was 42 and the Corsi against was 32 which had their Corsi percentage coming in at 56.8%. Tampa Bay accrued 33 minutes in the box in this contest. They also had 5 chances on the power play and notched 1 goal. The Lightning had a solid offensive performance in the win. In the game, they converted 4 of the 33 shots they put on net.

With respect to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 180 goals (8th in the NHL) on the campaign and have allowed 145. For the year, they have recorded 75 points and their points percentage sits at .670. Tampa Bay has accumulated 180 power play chances and they have notched 40 goals during those advantages, earning them a percentage of 22.22%. While at even strength, the Lightning have given up 116 goals while having 140 themselves. Tampa Bay has tried 1,692 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 10.6%. The Lightning have had 1,583 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .908. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 183 power play tries (2nd in hockey) and have come away with 29 goals in those chances.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Opponents have notched 736 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his professional career and his average for goals against per game is 2.51. Vasilevskiy has participated in 302 games during his NHL career. His save percentage currently sits at .920 during his 17,629 mins in the crease. He has accumulated a mark of Career and got the start in 292 games. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Vasilevskiy has compiled 164 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .562. Vasilevskiy has had 9,171 shots against him and has gathered 8,435 total saves.

In their Game 2 loss, the Islanders had a PDO at even strength of 93 and their percentage of oZS was 55.7%. They had 4 power play attempts in this outing and recorded 1 out of those chances. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 46.3% by tallying a Fenwick of 25 and the Lightning ending the game with a 29 Fenwick at even strength. The Islanders tallied 2 goals of the 26 shots on goal they took. New York wound up with a 43.2% Corsi rating. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that New York had and you might say they will look have a bounce back performance in their next game.

The Islanders have accumulated 125 goals at even strength and 27 goals (24th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. New York has tried 1,623 shots (22nd in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 9.37%, while allowing the other team 1,590 shots. During this campaign, the New York Islanders have notched a total of 152 goals, 71 points, in addition to a points percentage of .634. They have recorded 144 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 18.75%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 83.70% on their opponents 135 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 92.1%. They have allowed 125 goals to be scored by way of 103 goals at even strength and 22 goals while they had less men on the ice.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Semyon Varlamov between the pipes. His opposition is averaging 2.63 goals/game and he has allowed 1,327 goals overall. Varlamov's quality start rate is 56.6% and he has made 286 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has made the start in 505 contests and has been on the ice for 30,305 mins. Varlamov has a career mark of Career and has been in net for 529 contests. He has accounted for 14,532 stops out of the 15,859 shots tried, giving him a rate of .916.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take New York (-145)

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