Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 7/5/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Monday, July 5, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-150) Canadiens (+130)

Bell Centre is the site where Carey Price and the Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11) will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3) on Monday in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Finals. Tampa leads 3-0. The moneyline on this matchup has the Lightning coming in at -150 and the Canadiens are at +130. The O/U opens at 5.

The Lightning will head into Game 4 feeling good after earning a 6-3 victory against the Canadiens in Game 3. The Lightning had a good offensive performance in this win. For the game, they tallied a score on 6 of the 30 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 1 power play try and were able to net 1 goal. Tampa Bay amassed 2 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Lightning was 47 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 56 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 45.6%. Their Fenwick came in at 36 and the Fenwick against finished at 43, giving them a Fenwick rate of 45.6%. They accumulated 29 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 28 opportunities to win the puck. Their offensive zone starts sat at 45.5% and their PDO was 108.2 for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have tallied 183 power play tries (2nd in the league) and have a total of 29 goals in those attempts. The Lightning have had 1,583 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .908. Tampa Bay has taken 1,692 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.6%. At even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 116 goals while getting 140 on the offensive side of the ice. Tampa Bay skates onto the rink with 180 power play opportunities and they have notched 40 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 22.22%. For the current campaign, they have racked up 75 points and their points percentage comes in at .670. With regard to their scoring, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 180 goals (8th in the NHL) this year and have given up 145.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Vasilevskiy has earned 164 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .562. His save percentage is at .920 during his 17,629 mins between the pipes. Vasilevskiy has seen 9,171 shots taken against him and has accrued 8,435 total saves. Opponents have tallied 736 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 2.51. He has compiled an overall mark of Career and he started in 292 games. Vasilevskiy has participated in 302 matchups over the course of his NHL career.

In their Game 3 loss, Montreal had 1 chance on the power play in this contest but weren't able to notch a goal. The Canadiens recorded 3 goals out of the 35 shots on goal they were seeking. Their PDO at even strength was 92 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 54.5%. Montreal had a 54.4% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Montreal had and you might say they looked run of the mill in this one. Their Fenwick percentage was 54.4% with a Fenwick of 43 and the Lightning having a 36 Fenwick.

Montreal has attempted 1,746 shots (7th in pro hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.05%, while allowing their opponents 1,579 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 78.49% on the other teams 172 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 89.6%. They have a total of 151 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 19.21%. The Canadiens have tallied 129 goals at even strength and 29 goals (22nd in hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 165 goals to be scored by of a combination of 128 goals at even strength and 37 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the year, the Montreal Canadiens have earned 158 goals, 59 points, as well as a points percentage of .527.

Across the ice you will find Carey Price between the pipes. The opposition is averaging 2.50 goals per game and he has relinquished 1,737 goals overall. Price's rate of quality starts is 57.4% and he has 399 quality starts in his professional career. He got the starting nod in 695 games and has played for a total of 41,707 minutes. Price has earned a lifetime mark of Career and has played in 707 contests. He has a tally of 19,174 saves out of the 20,911 shots taken, which gives him a save percentage of .917.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Montreal (+130) and under 5 goals

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