Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 12/7/2021 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Tuesday, December 7, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: TSN

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-175) Canadiens (+143)

Bell Centre is the site where Jake Allen and the Montreal Canadiens (6-17-3) will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (15-5-4) on Tuesday. The Lightning open this matchup at -175 while the Canadiens are coming in at +143. The over/under opens at 6.

The Lightning went home feeling good about their game by earning a 7-1 victory over the Flyers their last time out. The Lightning had a solid offensive performance in the victory. In the game, they earned a goal on 7 out of the 27 shots they attempted. Additionally, they had 2 power play opportunities and were able to score 1 goal. Tampa Bay accumulated 8 penalty mins for this contest. The Corsi for the Lightning came in at 41 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 64 which had their Corsi percentage coming in at 39.0%. Their Fenwick came in at 32 and the Fenwick against was 47, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 40.5%. They compiled 26 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 23 opportunities to take control of the puck. When starting in the offensive zone they were rated at 28.1% and they had a PDO of 120.8 for this matchup.

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The Lightning have had 727 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .913. At even strength, the Lightning have surrendered 51 goals while notching 65 of their own. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have 73 power play opportunities (11th in pro hockey) and have a total of 12 goals in those attempts. For the season, they sit with 34 points and their points percentage is sitting at .708. Tampa Bay has taken 713 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.1%. When it comes to their scoring, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 79 goals (10th in the NHL) this season and have given up 63. Tampa Bay comes into tonight with 70 power play chances and they have scored 14 goals during those chances, earning them a rate of 20.00%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over the course of his time in hockey, Vasilevskiy has tallied 177 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .569. His save percentage currently sits at .920 in his 18,784 minutes guarding the cage. Vasilevskiy has seen 9,736 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 8,959 saves. Opponents have scored 777 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.48. He has a record of 202-87-22 and he was named the starter in 311 games. Vasilevskiy has participated in 321 contests throughout his NHL career.

In their last game, Montreal went up against the Predators in a game where the Canadiens took the loss by a final score of 4-3. They had 4 power play opportunities in this matchup and notched 1 goal out of those attempts. The Canadiens recorded 3 goals out of the 23 shots on goal they pursued. They had a PDO at even strength of 104 and their oZS percentage was 33.7%. Montreal had a 33.3% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Montreal had and you could say that they didn't play great, but weren't awful either. They had a Fenwick percentage of 32.9% by compiling a Fenwick of 23 and the Predators finishing with a 47 Fenwick at even strength.

Montreal has attempted 766 shots (15th in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 7.70%, while allowing their opponents 876 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 71.25% on their opponents 80 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 89.4%. They have a total of 81 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 13.58%. The Canadiens have tallied 48 goals at even strength and 11 goals (26th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have allowed 93 goals to be scored by way of 70 goals at even strength and 23 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the year, the Montreal Canadiens have notched a total of 59 goals, 15 points, in addition to a points percentage of .288.

Across the rink you are likely to see Jake Allen protecting the net. Allen has accumulated a lifetime record of 164-117-33 and has played in 337 games. Allen's percentage of quality starts is 53.3% and he has made 169 quality starts in his professional career. He has tallied 8,276 saves out of 9,078 shots attempted against him, giving him a save percentage of .912. Opponents are averaging 2.55 goals per game and he has allowed 802 goals in total. He has made the start in 317 games and his ice time sits at 18,887 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-175)

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