Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction, 5/16/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers

Date: Sunday, May 16, 2021

Location: BB&T Center in Sunrise, FL

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-119) Panthers (+108)

Sergei Bobrovsky and the Florida Panthers (35-14-5) play the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-15-3) at BB&T Center on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Lightning priced at -119 and the Panthers are at +108. The O/U is set at 5.5.

The Lightning were on the losing side of the ice with a 4-0 loss to the Panthers in their last outing. The offensive zone starts for them were at 68.7% and they had a PDO of 85.0 for this game. They accumulated 26 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 13 attempts to control the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 27 and the Fenwick against finished at 26, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 50.9%. The Corsi for the Lightning came in at 38 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 36 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 51.4%. Tampa Bay garnered 19 penalty minutes for this matchup. In addition, they had 5 attempts on the power play but weren't able to score. The Lightning left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in this defeat. In the game, they weren't able to score on any of the 30 shots they put on goal.

The Lightning have had 1,583 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .908. While at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 117 goals while earning 140 on offense. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have tallied 172 power play opportunities (3rd in hockey) and have come away with 28 goals in those attempts. For the season, they have 75 points and their points percentage sits at .694. Tampa Bay has tried 1,692 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.6%. With regard to scoring goals, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 180 goals (8th in the National Hockey League) for the season and have conceded 145. Tampa Bay skates onto the rink with 169 power play opportunities and they have scored 40 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 23.67%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Opponents have notched 736 goals against Vasilevskiy in his professional hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.51. Vasilevskiy has been involved in 302 contests over the course of his NHL career. His save percentage sits at .920 in his 17,629 minutes in the crease. He has compiled a mark of 190-83-19 and was named the starter in 292 games. During his career on the ice, Vasilevskiy has accumulated 164 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .562. Vasilevskiy has had 9,171 shots against him and has accrued 8,435 saves.

In their last game, Florida opposed the Lightning in an outing where the Panthers earned a victory by a final score of 4-0. They had 5 opportunities on the power play in this contest but weren't able to score a goal. The Panthers recorded 4 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they tried. Their PDO was 115 and their percentage of oZS was 31.3%. Florida earned a 48.6% Corsi rating. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Florida played and they showed out in this one. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 49.1% by amassing a Fenwick of 26 and the Lightning finishing with a 27 Fenwick.

The Panthers are sitting with 150 goals at even strength and 38 goals (5th in the NHL) while on the power play. Florida has taken 1,954 shots (1st in the league) and has a shooting percentage of 9.62%, while allowing the other team 1,682 shots. So far this season, the Florida Panthers have tallied 188 goals, 75 points, in addition to a points percentage of .694. They have a total of 179 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 21.23%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 78.48% on the other teams 158 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 91.0%. They have granted a total of 151 goals to be scored by way of 117 goals at even strength and 34 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you are likely to see Sergei Bobrovsky in the crease. He has a tally of 14,482 stops out of 15,803 shots attempted against him, which gives him a percentage of .916. Bobrovsky has accumulated a career record of 297-180-45 and has been in goal for 538 games. He has started in 524 games and his ice time sits at 30,993 minutes. Bobrovsky's quality start percentage sits at 56.5% and he has accumulated 296 quality starts in his pro career. Opponents are averaging 2.56 goals per game and he has allowed 1,321 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-119)

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