Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, 5/2/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings

Date: Sunday, May 2, 2021

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: NBC

Little Caesars Arena is the venue where Thomas Greiss and the Detroit Red Wings (17-26-9) will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (34-14-2) on Sunday.

The Lightning came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 3-0 victory against the Stars in their last contest. The Corsi for the Lightning came in at 37 and the Corsi against was 41 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 47.4%. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 58.6% and they had a PDO of 108.7 in this one. Tampa Bay accrued 2 penalty mins in this matchup. The Lightning offense showed they have some room for improvement in the victory. Their Fenwick was 30 and the Fenwick against finished at 27, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 52.6%. They recorded 16 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 26 attempts to win the face-off. They also had 1 attempt on the power play but didn't convert it into a score. In the game, they converted 3 of the 28 shots they put on goal.

Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have earned 162 power play opportunities (3rd in professional hockey) and have earned 28 goals in those attempts. The Lightning have had 1,427 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .910. Tampa Bay has tried 1,511 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.2%. When at even strength, the Lightning have surrendered 100 goals while notching 131 of their own. Tampa Bay has accumulated 155 power play chances and they have notched 38 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 24.52%. For the season, the have a total of 70 points and their points percentage is .700. When talking about their scoring, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 169 goals (4th in hockey) this year and have given up 128.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Curtis McElhinney. McElhinney has taken the ice for 247 contests during his NHL career. He has a record of 94-94-19 and he has gotten the start in 195 games. Opponents have been able to score 610 goals against McElhinney in his professional career and his goals against average per game is 2.84. McElhinney has seen 6,593 shots against him and has gathered 5,983 saves. His save percentage currently is at .907 in his 12,894 mins between the pipes. In his professional hockey career, McElhinney has accrued 91 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .467.

The last time they were on the ice, Detroit faced the Hurricanes in an outing where the Red Wings ended up taking the loss by a tally of 3-1. Their PDO at even strength was 97 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 51.5%. They had 1 opportunity on the power play in this one but weren't able to score a goal. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 34.4% by way of having a Fenwick of 22 and the Hurricanes finishing with a 42 Fenwick at even strength. The Red Wings scored 1 goal of the 17 shots on goal they pursued. Detroit went home with a 34.6% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Detroit had and you might say they will look for a better outcome in their next outing.

Detroit has put up 1,417 shots (25th in pro hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 8.12%, while allowing their opponents 1,651 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 77.70% on their oppositions 148 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 90.4%. They have a tally of 139 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 10.79%. The Red Wings have 100 goals at even strength and 15 goals (30th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 159 goals to be scored by of a combination of 126 goals at even strength and 33 goals while they were shorthanded. Over the course of the season, the Detroit Red Wings have 115 goals, 43 points, and a points percentage of .413.

Across the rink you are likely to see Thomas Greiss protecting the goal. He is sitting with 7,892 saves out of 8,635 shots tried, which gives him a save % of .914. Greiss is the owner of a career record of 143-105-36 and has been in goal for 314 games. He has been a starter 275 contests and has been on the ice for 16,845 mins. Greiss' rate of quality starts comes out to 54.5% and he has earned 150 quality starts in his professional career. Opponents are averaging 2.65 goals per game and he has given up 743 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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