Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, 3/11/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings

Date: Thursday, March 11, 2021

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: Fox Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-300) Red Wings (+264)

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (18-4-2) are headed to Little Caesars Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Detroit Red Wings (7-16-4). The Lightning open this contest at -300 while the Red Wings are coming in at +264. The over/under opens at 5.5.

The Lightning came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 4-3 victory over the Red Wings their last time out. The Lightning had a impressive offensive outing in this win. In the game, they finished 4 of the 29 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 3 power play tries and were able to notch 1 goal. Tampa Bay earned 11 mins in the box in this game. The Corsi for the Lightning was sitting at 37 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 37 which means they had a Corsi rate of 50.0%. Their Fenwick came in at 30 and the Fenwick against was 27, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 52.6%. They compiled 23 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 24 opportunities to gain puck control. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 43.8% and they had a PDO of 104.3 for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 84 power play tries (10th in hockey) and have a total of 11 goals in those attempts. The Lightning have had 671 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .925. Tampa Bay has tried 726 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 12.0%. While playing at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 39 goals while notching 63 themselves. Tampa Bay has accounted for 83 power play opportunities and they have tallied 24 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 28.92%. For the current season, they have earned 38 points and their points % is .792. When discussing their scoring, the Tampa Bay Lightning have racked up 87 goals (2nd in hockey) over the course of the season and have given up 50.

The man in net for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has taken the ice for 280 games over the course of his NHL career. He has earned a mark of 175-76-19 and he started in 270 games. Opponents have notched 679 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his career and his goals against average is 2.50. Vasilevskiy has had 8,498 shots against him and has garnered 7,819 saves. His save percentage currently is .920 for his 16,310 mins on the ice. Over the course of his career, Vasilevskiy has tallied 154 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .570.

In their loss to Tampa, the Red Wings PDO was 96 and they earned an oZS percentage of 56.2%. They had 3 chances on the power play in this game and scored 1 out of those opportunities. Their Fenwick rate came in at 47.4% with a Fenwick of 27 and the Lightning finishing with a 30 Fenwick. The Red Wings had 3 goals out of the 23 shots on goal they attempted. Detroit wound up with a 50.0% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Detroit played and you can say they had a mediocre outing.

The Red Wings are sitting with 48 goals at even strength and 9 goals (28th in pro hockey) while on the power play. Detroit has tried 762 shots (14th in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 7.48%, while allowing their opponents 826 shots. Over the course of the season, the Detroit Red Wings have tallied 57 goals, 18 points, in addition to a points percentage of .333. They have a total of 78 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 11.54%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 69.74% on the other teams 76 power play tries, and their save percentage sits at 89.0%. They have allowed 91 goals to be scored by way of 68 goals at even strength and 23 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the ice you are likely to see Jonathan Bernier protecting the goal. His opponents are averaging 2.76 goals/game and he has relinquished 967 goals altogether. Bernier's quality start percentage comes out to 52.6% and he has 181 quality starts in his NHL career. He has started in 344 contests and his ice time sits at 21,002 minutes. Bernier is the owner of a lifetime mark of 158-153-38 and has participated in 383 contests. He has compiled 10,063 stops out of the 11,030 shots taken against him, which gives him a save % of .912.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Detroit (+264)

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