Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, 10/14/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings

Date: Thursday, October 14, 2021

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-242) Red Wings (+216)

Little Caesars Arena is the venue where Alex Nedeljkovic and the Detroit Red Wings (19-27-10) will play the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3) on Thursday. The Lightning open this matchup at -242 while the Red Wings are priced at +216. The O/U has been set at 6.

The Lightning will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 1-0 victory against the Canadiens in their last outing. The Lightning offense left a lot to be desired in the victory. In the game, they converted 1 out of the 30 shots they attempted. Additionally, they had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to net one. Tampa Bay compiled 8 penalty mins in this contest. The Corsi for the Lightning was 38 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 38 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 50.0%. Their Fenwick came in at 30 and the Fenwick against finished at 29, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 50.8%. They had a tally of 21 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 24 attempts to take control of the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 76.5% and they had a PDO at even strength of 104.5 in this one.

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With regard to scoring goals, the Tampa Bay Lightning racked up 180 goals (8th in pro hockey) during the previous year and allowed 145. For last season, they recorded 75 points and their points percentage finished at .670. Tampa Bay tallied 180 power play opportunities and tallied 40 goals during those chances, giving them a percentage of 22.22%. When playing at even strength, the Lightning let the opposition score 116 goals while notching 140. Tampa Bay took 1,692 shots and had a shot percentage of 10.6%. The Lightning had 1,583 shots tried against them and were the owners of a save percentage of .908. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents had 183 power play tries (2nd in the league) and earned 29 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the net in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has been in net for 303 contests over the course of his pro hockey career. He has earned an overall record of 190-84-19 and he has gotten the start in 293 games. Opponents have racked up 739 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his pro career and his goals against rate is 2.51. Vasilevskiy has seen 9,203 shots taken against him and has accrued 8,464 total saves. His save percentage is at .920 for his 17,687 mins between the pipes. Over the course of his pro career, Vasilevskiy is sitting with 164 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .560.

Their last time out, Detroit played the Blue Jackets in a matchup where the Red Wings ended up taking the loss by a final score of 5-4. Detroit wound up with a 49.1% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Detroit played and they showed out in this one. They had a Fenwick percentage of 48.0% by compiling a Fenwick of 47 and the Blue Jackets having earned a 51 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO at even strength of 97 and their percentage of oZS was 51.8%. The Red Wings recorded 4 goals out of the 37 shots on goal they tried. They had 1 opportunity on the power play in this contest and netted 1 on that try.

Detroit has tried 1,528 shots (30th in the NHL) and accumulated a shot percentage of 8.18%, while allowing the other team 1,786 shots. They accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 78.71% on their opponent's 155 power play tries, and their save percentage was 90.6%. They earned 149 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 11.41%. The Red Wings accumulated 108 goals at even strength and 17 goals (30th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They permitted 168 goals to be scored by way of 135 goals at even strength and 33 goals while they were shorthanded. This season, the Detroit Red Wings earned 125 goals, 48 points, in addition to a points percentage of .429.

On the other side of the ice you will find Alex Nedeljkovic protecting the goal. The opposition is averaging 2.01 goals/game and he has yielded 57 goals altogether. Nedeljkovic's quality start percentage comes in at 63.0% and he has accumulated 17 quality starts in his pro career. He has been a starter 27 games and has played for a total of 1,698 minutes. Nedeljkovic is the owner of a career record of 17-7-4 and has played in 29 games. He has accrued 731 saves out of 788 shots taken, giving him a percentage of .928.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Detroit (+216)

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