Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 3/25/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars

Date: Thursday, March 25, 2021

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-180) Stars (+158)

Anton Khudobin and the Dallas Stars (10-11-8) play the Tampa Bay Lightning (24-6-2) at American Airlines Center on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has the Lightning coming in at -180 and the Stars are at +158. The O/U is set at 5.5.

The Lightning came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 2-1 victory over the Stars in their previous outing. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 50.2% and their PDO was 104.5 in this game. They recorded 27 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 27 attempts to gain puck control. Their Fenwick came in at 35 and the Fenwick Against sat at 26, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 57.4%. The Corsi for the Lightning was 50 and the Corsi against was at 39 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 56.2%. Tampa Bay earned 6 penalty mins for this game. Moreover, they had 3 chances with the advantage and were able to net 1 goal. The Lightning had an offensive game that was below their expectations in this win. For the game, they scored on 2 of the 26 shots they attempted.

Concerning scoring goals, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 116 goals (1st in pro hockey) this year and have conceded 73. For the year, they have racked up 50 points and their points percentage comes in at .781. Tampa Bay has accounted for 108 power play chances and they have tallied 31 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 28.70%. When playing at even strength, the Lightning have conceded 54 goals while scoring 85 themselves. Tampa Bay has tried 975 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.9%. The Lightning have had 879 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .917. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have earned 112 power play opportunities (2nd in professional hockey) and have earned 19 goals in those attempts.

The man in goal for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Opponents have been able to score 689 goals against Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 2.49. Vasilevskiy has been involved in 285 games over the course of his NHL career. His save percentage sits at .920 for his 16,615 mins on the ice. He has a mark of 180-76-19 and he started in 275 games. Throughout his time in hockey, Vasilevskiy has 156 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .567. Vasilevskiy has had 8,625 shots taken against him and has accrued 7,936 total saves.

In their loss to Tampa, Dallas had 4 power play chances in this matchup and notched 1 out of those chances. The Stars notched 1 goal of the 17 shots on goal they pursued. Their PDO was 96 and they had an oZS percentage of 49.8%. Dallas wound up with a 43.8% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Dallas played and it could be said that this team has had better games. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 42.6% by amassing a Fenwick of 26 and the Lightning earning a 35 Fenwick at even strength.

The Stars have accumulated 57 goals at even strength and 23 goals (11th in pro hockey) while on the power play. Dallas has taken 839 shots (30th in hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 9.54%, while allowing their opponents 782 shots. This season, the Dallas Stars have earned a total of 80 goals, 28 points, and a points percentage of .483. They have a total of 98 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 23.47%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 77.17% on their opponents 92 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 90.8%. They have allowed 72 goals to be scored by way of 51 goals at even strength and 21 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you will find Anton Khudobin defending the net. The opposition is averaging 2.46 goals per contest and he has surrendered 532 goals in total. Khudobin's rate of quality starts is 58.1% and he has qualified for 125 quality starts in his hockey career. He has started in 215 contests and has played for a total of 12,997 mins. Khudobin has earned a career mark of 105-85-27 and has been in goal for 235 contests. He has a tally of 5,988 saves out of 6,520 shots tried, which gives him a rate of .918.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (+158)

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