Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 3/23/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars

Date: Tuesday, March 23, 2021

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-150) Stars (+130)

American Airlines Center is the venue where Anton Khudobin and the Dallas Stars (10-10-8) will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (23-6-2) on Tuesday. The Stars open this matchup at +130 while the Lightning are coming in at -150. The total has been set at 5.5.

The Lightning were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5-3 win over the Panthers in their previous game. The offensive zone starts for them were at 36.1% and they had a PDO at even strength of 119.0 for this matchup. They garnered 26 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 18 attempts to win the puck. Their Fenwick was 22 and the Fenwick Against sat at 24, giving them a Fenwick rate of 47.8%. The Corsi for the Lightning was sitting at 33 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 34 which means they had a Corsi rate of 49.3%. Tampa Bay accumulated 14 mins in the box in this matchup. Furthermore, they had 5 chances with the advantage and notched 1 goal. The Lightning had a good offensive outing in the win. For the game, they were able to notch a goal on 5 of the 24 shots they put on net.

When discussing their scoring, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 114 goals (2nd in the league) so far this year and have given up 72. For the current season, they have recorded 48 points and their points percentage sits at .774. Tampa Bay comes into the game with 105 power play chances and they have added 30 goals out of those chances, giving them a rate of 28.57%. When at even strength, the Lightning have allowed 54 goals while having 84 on offense. Tampa Bay has attempted 949 shots and holds a shot percentage of 12.0%. The Lightning have had 862 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .916. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have earned 108 power play opportunities (2nd in the league) and have a total of 18 goals in those attempts.

The player in the crease for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over the course of his pro career, Vasilevskiy has earned 155 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .566. His save percentage is .920 for his 16,555 mins on the ice. Vasilevskiy has had 8,608 shots taken against him and he has 7,920 saves. Opponents have been able to score 688 goals against Vasilevskiy in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.49. He has amassed a mark of 179-76-19 and he has started in 274 games. Vasilevskiy has taken the ice for 284 games over the course of his hockey career.

In their last outing, Dallas went up against the Predators in a matchup where the Stars went home in defeat by a final score of 4-3. They had 2 power play attempts in this one but didn't score a goal. The Stars recorded 3 goals of the 30 shots on goal they attempted. They had a PDO of 101 and they earned an oZS percentage of 42.0%. Dallas earned a 56.4% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Dallas had and we'd say they played an average game. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 54.7% by notching a Fenwick of 41 and the Predators ending the game with a 34 Fenwick at even strength.

The Stars have tallied 57 goals at even strength and 22 goals (11th in the league) while having a power play advantage. Dallas has taken 822 shots (28th in hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.61%, while allowing their opponents 756 shots. For the season, the Dallas Stars have tallied 79 goals, 28 points, as well as a points percentage of .500. They have earned 94 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 23.40%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 77.53% on their opponents 89 power play tries, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.7%. They have allowed 70 goals to be scored by way of 50 goals at even strength and 20 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you are going to see Anton Khudobin defending the net. The opposition is averaging 2.46 goals per game and he has surrendered 530 goals altogether. Khudobin's rate of quality starts sits at 57.9% and he has 124 quality starts in his pro hockey career. He has been a starter 214 games and has been on the ice for 12,939 minutes. Khudobin is sitting with a lifetime record of 105-84-27 and has been in goal for 234 games. He has tallied 5,964 stops out of the 6,494 shots tried, giving him a save percentage of .918.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Dallas (+130) and under 5.5 goals

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