Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 3/2/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars

Date: Tuesday, March 2, 2021

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-220) Stars (+180)

Curtis McElhinney and the Tampa Bay Lightning (14-4-1) head to American Airlines Center on Tuesday where they'll meet the Dallas Stars (6-6-4). The odds on this matchup have the Lightning priced at -220 and the Stars are at +180. The over/under has been set at 5.5.

The Lightning went home feeling good about their game by earning a 5-0 victory against the Stars in their last contest. The Corsi for the Lightning was 25 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 30 which means they had a Corsi rate of 45.5%. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 34.9% and they had a PDO at even strength of 114.3 in this game. Tampa Bay accrued 11 penalty minutes for this game. The Lightning had a good offensive output in this win. Their Fenwick came in at 19 and the Fenwick Against sat at 21, giving them a Fenwick rate of 47.5%. They accounted for 13 face-off victories when at even strength and were beaten on 14 attempts to win the puck. Furthermore, they had 2 power play opportunities and netted 2 goals. For the game, they converted 5 of the 21 shots they attempted.

The Lightning have had 531 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .927. When playing at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 31 goals while having 52 of their own. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have tallied 67 power play opportunities (14th in hockey) and have scored 8 goals in those attempts. For the season, they have accumulated 29 points and their points percentage sits at .763. Tampa Bay has taken 563 shots and has a shooting percentage of 12.3%. In reference to their scoring, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 69 goals (5th in pro hockey) over the course of the season and have surrendered 39. Tampa Bay has compiled 63 power play chances and they have scored 17 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 26.98%.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Curtis McElhinney. The opposition has racked up 586 goals against McElhinney in his professional hockey career and his goals against rate is 2.82. McElhinney has played in 240 contests over the course of his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .909 for his 12,477 mins in the crease. He has compiled a mark of 92-90-18 and he started in 188 games. In his professional hockey career, McElhinney is sitting with 89 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .473. McElhinney has seen 6,420 shots taken against him and has accrued 5,834 total saves.

In their loss to Tampa, Dallas wound up with a 54.5% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Dallas had and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 52.5% by way of having a Fenwick of 21 and the Lightning finishing with a 19 Fenwick. Their PDO at even strength was 86 and their oZS percentage was 65.1%. The Stars earned 0 goals out of the 20 shots on goal they tried. They had 6 power play opportunities in this game but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.

The Stars are sitting with 29 goals at even strength and 17 goals (10th in professional hockey) while having a power play advantage. Dallas has put up 444 shots (31st in the league) and has a shooting percentage of 10.36%, while allowing the other team 480 shots. This season, the Dallas Stars have tallied 46 goals, 16 points, in addition to a points percentage of .500. They have earned 61 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 27.87%. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 77.97% on their opponents 59 tries on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 91.0%. They have granted a total of 43 goals to be scored by way of 30 goals at even strength and 13 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you are likely to see Jake Oettinger defending the goal. He has accounted for 168 saves out of the 184 shots taken, which gives him a save percentage of .913. Oettinger has earned a lifetime mark of 2-1-3 and has participated in 8 contests. He has been a starter 6 games and his ice time sits at 415 minutes. Oettinger's percentage of quality starts sits at 50.0% and he has accumulated 3 quality starts in his career. His opponents are averaging 2.31 goals per game and he has allowed 16 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas (+180)

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