Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 3/16/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars

Date: Tuesday, March 16, 2021

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-153) Stars (+133)

Curtis McElhinney and the Tampa Bay Lightning (19-5-2) travel to American Airlines Center on Tuesday where they'll take on the Dallas Stars (8-9-6). The moneyline on this contest has the Lightning priced at -153 and the Stars are at +133. The O/U opens at 5.5.

The Lightning were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 6-3 victory against the Predators in their last outing. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 59.3% and their PDO rating was 113.9 for this matchup. They garnered 22 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 25 attempts to gain puck control. Their Fenwick came in at 29 and the Fenwick against was 42, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 40.8%. The Corsi for the Lightning was sitting at 39 and the Corsi against was 47 which had their Corsi percentage coming in at 45.3%. Tampa Bay had 2 penalty mins in this game. They also had 1 chance with the advantage and scored 1 goal. The Lightning had a solid offensive performance in the win. In the matchup, they converted 6 out of the 28 shots they put on net.

In regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 97 goals (3rd in the NHL) so far this year and have allowed 59. For the season, they have racked up 40 points and their points % is .769. Tampa Bay is sitting with 90 power play chances and they have added 26 goals out of those tries, earning them a rate of 28.89%. While at even strength, the Lightning have conceded 47 goals while having 71 on offense. Tampa Bay has taken 798 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 12.2%. The Lightning have had 725 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .919. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 90 power play opportunities (11th in pro hockey) and have come away with 12 goals in those attempts.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Curtis McElhinney. The opposition has racked up 594 goals versus McElhinney in his professional hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.83. McElhinney has been involved in 242 games over the course of his NHL career. His save percentage is at .908 during his 12,599 mins played. He has accumulated an overall mark of 92-91-19 and got the start in 190 games. Over the course of his career, McElhinney has 89 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .468. McElhinney has had 6,469 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 5,875 total saves.

When they were on the ice last, Dallas faced the Blue Jackets in an outing where the Stars notched a victory by a tally of 2-1. Their PDO was 100 and their percentage of oZS was 58.8%. They had 1 power play opportunity in this contest but weren't able to notch a goal. Their Fenwick rate was 49.4% by amassing a Fenwick of 39 and the Blue Jackets ending the game with a 40 Fenwick. The Stars converted 2 goals of the 35 shots on goal they pursued. Dallas earned a 52.3% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Dallas had and you could say that they have had better days on the ice.

Dallas has taken 657 shots (31st in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 10.20%, while allowing their opponents 626 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 77.78% on their oppositions 81 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 90.4%. They have a tally of 82 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 24.39%. The Stars have racked up 47 goals at even strength and 20 goals (12th in professional hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have allowed 60 goals to be scored by of a combination of 42 goals at even strength and 18 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the season, the Dallas Stars have accumulated 67 goals, 22 points, and a points percentage of .478.

Across the rink you will find Jake Oettinger in goal. He has recorded 265 saves out of 289 shots attempted, giving him a save % of .917. Oettinger is sitting with a lifetime mark of 4-1-5 and has been in net for 13 games. He has started in 10 contests and his ice time sits at 686 minutes. Oettinger's percentage of quality starts comes out to 50.0% and he has made 5 quality starts in his career. His opponents are averaging 2.10 goals per contest and he has surrendered 24 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas (+133)

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