Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks Prediction, 3/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks

Date: Thursday, March 4, 2021

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-200) Blackhawks (+159)

United Center is the site where Malcolm Subban and the Chicago Blackhawks (12-7-4) will play the Tampa Bay Lightning (15-4-1) on Thursday. The Lightning open this contest at -200 while the Blackhawks are priced at +159. The O/U is set at 6.5.

The Lightning were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 2-0 win against the Stars in the last game they played. The Lightning left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in the win. For the matchup, they earned a goal on 2 out of the 19 shots they tried. In addition, they had 5 attempts on the power play and scored 1 goal. Tampa Bay recorded 15 penalty mins in this matchup. The Corsi for the Lightning was sitting at 37 and the Corsi against was at 50 which means they had a Corsi rate of 42.5%. Their Fenwick came in at 27 and the Fenwick Against sat at 37, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 42.2%. They totaled 22 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 11 attempts to win the puck. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 33.3% and they had a PDO of 108.3 for this matchup.

In relation to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 71 goals (8th in hockey) on the year and have given up 39. For the current season, they have 31 points and their points percentage is sitting at .775. Tampa Bay has compiled 68 power play opportunities and they have scored 18 goals out of those chances, earning them a percentage of 26.47%. While playing at even strength, the Lightning let the opposition score 31 goals while getting 53 on offense. Tampa Bay has attempted 582 shots and holds a shot percentage of 12.2%. The Lightning have had 559 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .930. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have recorded 70 power play tries (12th in the NHL) and have scored 8 goals in those attempts.

The man in net for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. The opposition has notched 671 goals against Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.50. Vasilevskiy has taken the ice for 277 contests during his NHL career. He has a save percentage of .920 in his 16,122 mins between the pipes. He has accumulated a mark of 172-76-19 and he has started in 267 games. For his career, Vasilevskiy has 153 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .573. Vasilevskiy has seen 8,413 shots against him and he has 7,742 saves.

When they were on the ice last, Chicago faced the Red Wings in an outing where the Blackhawks notched a win by a score of 7-2. Chicago went home with a 42.0% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Chicago played and they looked good in this game. Their Fenwick percentage was 40.2% by way of having a Fenwick of 35 and the Red Wings finishing with a 52 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO at even strength was 119 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 38.4%. The Blackhawks notched 7 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 1 power play opportunity in this game and scored 1 on that attempt.

The Blackhawks are sitting with 50 goals at even strength and 22 goals (3rd in the NHL) while on the power play. Chicago has attempted 704 shots (7th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 10.23%, while allowing the other team 780 shots. For the season, the Chicago Blackhawks have 72 goals, 28 points, as well as a points percentage of .609. They have recorded 66 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 33.33%. They have a penalty kill rate of 75.00% on their opponents 68 power play chances, and their save percentage comes in at 91.5%. They have granted a total of 66 goals to be scored by way of 49 goals at even strength and 17 goals while they had less men on the ice.

For the opposition you will find Malcolm Subban in the crease. He has accrued 1,787 stops out of the 1,984 shots taken, which gives him a save percentage of .901. Subban has earned a lifetime record of 33-25-8 and has been in net for 72 contests. He has made the start in 66 contests and has been on the ice for 4,022 mins. Subban's quality start percentage sits at 40.9% and he has earned 27 quality starts in his professional career. His opposition is averaging 2.94 goals per contest and he has relinquished 197 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Chicago (+159)

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