Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction, 1/28/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes

Date: Thursday, January 28, 2021

Location: PNC Arena in Raleigh, NC

TV: SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-145) Hurricanes (+125)

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (3-1-0) travel to PNC Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Carolina Hurricanes (2-1-0). The Hurricanes open this matchup at +125 while the Lightning are coming in at -145. The over/under is set at 5.5.

The Lightning will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 5 - 2 defeat to the Blue Jackets in their previous contest. The Lightning left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in this defeat. In the game, they converted 2 of the 32 shots they looked to score on. Moreover, they had 3 power play attempts and scored 1 goal out of those attempts. Tampa Bay racked up a total of 4 penalty mins in this matchup. The Corsi for the Lightning was 44 and the Corsi against was 44 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 50.0%. Their Fenwick sat at 36 while the Fenwick against was 36, which earned them a Fenwick percentage of 50.0%. They earned 26 face-off wins and lost 26 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 53.6% and they had a PDO of 83.3 for this one. When it comes to their opponent, the Columbus Blue Jackets tallied a total of 28 shots. They finished with 6 penalty mins and they had 2 power play attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have earned 13 power play opportunities (27th in hockey) and have scored 3 goals in those chances. The Lightning have had 113 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .912. Tampa Bay has tried 139 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 10.8%. While at even strength, the Lightning let the opposition score 7 goals while notching 12 when they are on offense. Tampa Bay is sitting with 11 power play chances and they have notched 3 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 27.27%. For the season, they have recorded 6 points and their points percentage comes in at .750. Concerning their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have racked up 15 goals (22nd in pro hockey) this year and have conceded 10.

The player between the pipes for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has taken the ice for 264 contests throughout his NHL career. He has an overall mark of 162-74-18 and he was named the starter in 254 games. The opposition has been able to score 652 goals against Vasilevskiy in his pro hockey career and his goals against average is 2.55. Vasilevskiy has had 8,046 shots against him and has recorded 7,394 total saves. He has a save percentage of .919 in his 15,346 mins played. Throughout his time in hockey, Vasilevskiy has 143 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .563.

The Hurricanes played the Predators in a matchup where the Hurricanes took home the win by a score of 4 - 2. Carolina earned a 48.3% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 42 and they conceded a Corsi of 45. Their Fenwick rate was 42.9% by notching a Fenwick of 27 and the Predators having a 36 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Carolina played and we'd say they played well overall. Their PDO was 111.4 and their oZS percentage was 44.5%. The Hurricanes netted 4 goals out of the 24 shots on goal they pursued. They had 4 power play chances in this one and were able to net 1 out of those chances. In discussing the opposition, the Predators had 5 power play attempts and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. Carolina gave up 33 shots on goal and the Predators ended up with 8 penalty minutes.

On the season, the Carolina Hurricanes are sitting with 9 goals, 4 points, as well as a points percentage of .667. They have allowed 6 goals to be scored by of a combination of 5 goals at even strength and 1 goal while they had less men on the ice. The Hurricanes have earned 6 goals at even strength and 3 goals (24th in hockey) while on the power play. They have a tally of 12 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 25.00%. Carolina has tried 98 shots (29th in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.18%, while allowing the opposition 68 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 88.89% on their opponents 9 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage is 9.2%.

Across the rink you are likely to see Petr Mrazek protecting the goal. His opposition is averaging 2.61 goals per contest and he has relinquished 648 goals altogether. Mrazek's quality start rate comes out to 51.7% and he has made 124 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has started in 240 games and his ice time sits at 14,895 mins. Mrazek has accrued a lifetime record of 123-95-28 and has played in 265 contests. He has accrued 6,568 stops out of 7,216 shots taken, which gives him a save percentage of .910.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-145)

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