Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 10/25/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Monday, October 25, 2021

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSG Network

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+120) Sabres (+265)

Dustin Tokarski and the Buffalo Sabres host the Tampa Bay Lightning at KeyBank Center on Monday. The Sabres open this game at +265 while the Lightning are coming in at +120. The over/under opens at 5.5.

The Lightning will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 4-3 loss to the Avalanche in their previous outing. The Lightning offense showed they have some room for improvement in the loss. In the game, they earned a goal on 3 out of the 32 shots they looked to score on. Additionally, they had 3 power play chances but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Tampa Bay tallied 8 penalty minutes for this game. The Corsi for the Lightning came in at 45 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 34 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 57.0%. Their Fenwick came in at 39 and the Fenwick against was 26, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 60.0%. They accrued 28 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 22 attempts to gain puck control. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 72.4% and they had a PDO at even strength of 101.0 for this one.

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Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 19 power play opportunities (11th in pro hockey) and have scored 3 goals in those attempts. The Lightning have had 153 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .869. Tampa Bay has attempted 163 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.2%. At even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 17 goals while having 12 when they are on offense. Tampa Bay has accounted for 18 power play opportunities and they have added 3 goals during those chances, garnering them a rate of 16.67%. For the current season, they have tallied 5 points and their points % is .500. In reference to their scoring, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accounted for 15 goals (17th in hockey) this season and have allowed 20.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over the course of his time in hockey, Vasilevskiy has earned 165 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .557. His save percentage is at .919 for his 17,872 mins guarding the cage. Vasilevskiy has had 9,293 shots against him and has recorded 8,544 saves. Opponents have tallied 749 goals against Vasilevskiy in his professional career and his average for goals against per game is 2.51. He has accumulated an overall record of 192-85-19 and he has gotten the start in 296 games. Vasilevskiy has been involved in 306 games over the course of his pro hockey career.

Their last time out, Buffalo played the Devils in an outing where the Sabres took a loss by a final of 2-1. They had a PDO of 97 and their percentage of oZS was 75.6%. They had 2 chances on the power play in this matchup and tallied 1 goal out of those tries. Their Fenwick rate came in at 38.8% with a Fenwick of 33 and the Devils ending the game with a 52 Fenwick. The Sabres scored 1 goal of the 25 shots on goal they attempted. Buffalo wound up with a 38.7% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Buffalo played and it tells us that they didn't have their best game.

Buffalo has attempted 173 shots (11th in professional hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 7.51%, while allowing their opponents 151 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 85.71% on their oppositions 14 power play tries, and their save percentage currently comes in at 93.4%. They have a tally of 17 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 29.41%. The Sabres are sitting with 8 goals at even strength and 5 goals (9th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have granted a total of 10 goals to be scored by way of 8 goals at even strength and 2 goals while they were shorthanded. On the campaign, the Buffalo Sabres have tallied 13 goals, 7 points, and a points percentage of .700.

On the other side of the ice you are expected to see Dustin Tokarski in the crease. He has recorded 1,181 saves out of the 1,305 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .905. Tokarski is the owner of a career record of 13-20-7 and has been in net for 48 games. He has started in 38 contests and has played for a total of 2,486 minutes. Tokarski's rate of quality starts comes out to 47.4% and he has accumulated 18 quality starting assignments in his career. His opposition is averaging 2.99 goals per game and he has yielded 124 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+120)

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