Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction, 12/4/2021 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins

Date: Saturday, December 4, 2021

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-103) Bruins (-118)

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (13-5-4) are headed to TD Garden on Saturday where they'll take on the Boston Bruins (12-8-0). The Bruins open this contest at -118 while the Lightning are coming in at -103. The O/U is set at 6.

The Lightning were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 4-2 victory over the Blues the last time they stepped on the ice. Their offensive zone starts sat at 39.3% and they had a PDO of 109.7 for this matchup. They garnered 24 face-off victories at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to control the puck. Their Fenwick was 39 and the Fenwick Against sat at 30, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 56.5%. The Corsi for the Lightning was 48 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 47 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 50.5%. Tampa Bay amassed 6 penalty mins in this contest. In addition, they had 3 chances with the advantage and scored 1 goal. The Lightning had a solid offensive output and it showed in the victory. In the outing, they finished 4 out of the 35 shots they put on goal.

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The Lightning have had 649 shots attempted against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .908. When at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 49 goals while getting 56 of their own. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 69 power play tries (11th in the league) and have come away with 11 goals in those attempts. For the current campaign, they have 30 points and their points % is .682. Tampa Bay has attempted 661 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.4%. When discussing their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have racked up 69 goals (12th in hockey) so far this year and have given up 60. Tampa Bay skates onto the rink with 66 power play opportunities and they have notched 13 goals during those chances, garnering them a percentage of 19.70%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Andrei Vasilevskiy. The opposition has been able to score 775 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.48. Vasilevskiy has taken the ice for 320 games throughout his NHL career. His save percentage currently sits at .920 for his 18,723 mins played. He has a mark of 201-87-22 and got the start in 310 games. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Vasilevskiy has compiled 176 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .568. Vasilevskiy has had 9,697 shots taken against him and he has 8,922 saves.

Their last time out, Boston faced off against the Predators in a game where the Bruins ended up with the victory by a score of 2-0. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this matchup and tallied 1 goal out of those chances. The Bruins converted 2 goals of the 33 shots on goal they tried. Their PDO was 104 and their oZS percentage was 35.9%. Boston had a 38.9% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Boston played and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their Fenwick percentage was 43.5% by way of having a Fenwick of 37 and the Predators ending the game with a 48 Fenwick.

The Bruins have earned 42 goals at even strength and 16 goals (7th in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. Boston has tried 732 shots (13th in professional hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 7.92%, while allowing the other team 580 shots. Over the course of the season, the Boston Bruins have earned a total of 58 goals, 24 points, as well as a points percentage of .600. They have earned 62 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 25.81%. They have a penalty kill rate of 84.21% on their oppositions 57 tries on the power play, and their save percentage is 90.9%. They have granted a total of 53 goals to be scored by of a combination of 44 goals at even strength and 9 goals while they had less men on the ice.

For the opposition you are likely to see Linus Ullmark defending the net. Ullmark holds a career mark of 55-51-13 and has played in 126 games. Ullmark's quality start percentage comes out to 55.4% and he has earned 67 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has tallied 3,465 stops out of 3,798 shots tried, giving him a percentage of .912. The opposition is averaging 2.77 goals per contest and he has relinquished 333 goals altogether. He has started in 121 games and has been on the ice for 7,213 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Boston (-118)

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