San Jose Sharks vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, 5/1/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Jose Sharks vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: ALT

Odds/Point Spread: Sharks (+225) Avalanche (-265)

Ball Arena is the site where Devan Dubnyk and the Colorado Avalanche (31-12-4) will play the San Jose Sharks (20-24-5) on Saturday. The Sharks open this matchup at +225 while the Avalanche are priced at -265. The total is set at 6.

The Sharks had a good night with a 4-2 win against the Coyotes their last time on the ice. The Corsi for the Sharks sat at 38 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 44 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 46.3%. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 20.8% and they had a PDO of 107.1 for this one. San Jose compiled 8 minutes in the box for this matchup. The Sharks had a solid offensive output in the victory. Their Fenwick came in at 31 and the Fenwick against was 30, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 50.8%. They had 20 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 26 attempts to take control of the puck. They also had 4 opportunities with more players on the ice but didn't get a goal. In the game, they converted 4 of the 31 shots they tried.

The Sharks have had 1,538 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .892. While at even strength, the Sharks let the opposition score 134 goals while earning 110 on the offensive side of the ice. San Jose Sharks opponents have recorded 163 power play opportunities (2nd in professional hockey) and have a total of 32 goals in those chances. For the current campaign, they have tallied 45 points and their points percentage sits at .459. San Jose has taken 1,481 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 8.8%. With regard to their scoring capabilities, the San Jose Sharks have earned 130 goals (25th in the National Hockey League) this season and have allowed 166. San Jose comes into the game with 137 power play chances and they have scored 20 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 14.60%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Josef Korenar. Korenar has participated in 7 matchups throughout his professional hockey career. He has earned a record of 2-3-0 and he started in 4 games. The opposition has been able to score 16 goals versus Korenar in his career and his goals against average is 3.03. Korenar has seen 149 shot attempts against him and has recorded 133 total saves. His save percentage is .893 during his 317 minutes on the ice. Over the course of his career, Korenar has accounted for 1 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .250.

In their last game, Colorado faced off against the Golden Knights in a matchup where the Avalanche took the defeat by a mark of 5-2. They had 4 power play opportunities in this matchup but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. The Avalanche recorded 2 goals out of the 37 shots on goal they tried. Their PDO was 88 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 56.0%. Colorado went home with a 57.5% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Colorado played and you might say they will look for a better outcome in their next outing. Their Fenwick rate was 56.5% by accumulating a Fenwick of 39 and the Golden Knights finishing with a 30 Fenwick at even strength.

Colorado has put up 1,626 shots (2nd in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 10.09%, while allowing their opponents 1,205 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 81.82% on the other teams 154 chances on the power play, and their save percentage is currently 90.4%. They have a total of 179 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 23.46%. The Avalanche have racked up 122 goals at even strength and 42 goals (1st in the NHL) while on the power play. They have permitted 116 goals to be scored by way of 88 goals at even strength and 28 goals while they had less men on the ice. This season, the Colorado Avalanche have accounted for 164 goals, 66 points, in addition to a points percentage of .702.

Across the ice you are expected to see Devan Dubnyk defending the goal. Teams are averaging 2.61 goals/game and he has allowed 1,335 goals altogether. Dubnyk's percentage of quality starts is 54.0% and he has qualified for 277 quality starts in his career. He has been a starter 513 games and has accumulated 30,732 minutes. Dubnyk is the owner of a lifetime record of 252-206-54 and has been in net for 541 games. He has accounted for 14,172 saves out of the 15,507 shots attempted, giving him a save percentage of .914.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Colorado (-265)

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