Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals Prediction, 2/25/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals

Date: Thursday, February 25, 2021

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (+100) Capitals (-120)

Capital One Arena is the site where Vitek Vanecek and the Washington Capitals (9-5-4) will play the Pittsburgh Penguins (10-6-1) on Thursday. The Penguins open this contest at +100 while the Capitals are priced at -120. The over/under is set at 6.

The Penguins were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 3-2 win over the Capitals in their last contest. The Penguins offense showed they have some room for improvement in this win. For the matchup, they were able to notch a goal on 3 out of the 37 shots they attempted. Additionally, they had 2 chances on the power play and were able to score 1 goal. Pittsburgh amassed 4 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Penguins came in at 58 and the Corsi against was 46 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 55.8%. Their Fenwick was 42 and the Fenwick against was 33, giving them a Fenwick rate of 56.0%. They garnered 29 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 27 attempts to win the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 48.7% and they had a PDO of 97.2 for this one.

When talking about their goal scoring prowess, the Pittsburgh Penguins have racked up 51 goals (14th in pro hockey) for the season and have allowed 55. For the season, the have a total of 21 points and their points percentage is sitting at .618. Pittsburgh comes into tonight with 49 power play opportunities and they have scored 8 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 16.33%. When at even strength, the Penguins have allowed 42 goals while notching 43 of their own. Pittsburgh has attempted 505 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.1%. The Penguins have had 487 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .887. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have earned 52 power play opportunities (21st in the league) and have tallied 13 goals in those attempts.

The player in the crease for this game is Tristan Jarry. Jarry has been involved in 74 matchups during his NHL career. He has amassed a win-loss mark of 40-25-5 and got the start in 69 games. Opponents have been able to score 187 goals against Jarry in his professional hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.70. Jarry has seen 2,096 shots against him and has gathered 1,909 saves. He has a save percentage of .911 in his 4,148 mins between the pipes. In his professional hockey career, Jarry has accrued 41 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .594.

In their loss to Pittsburgh, Washington had a 44.2% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Washington had and you might say they will look for a better outcome in their next outing. They had a Fenwick percentage of 44.0% by earning a Fenwick of 33 and the Penguins finishing with a 42 Fenwick. Their PDO at even strength was 103 and they had an oZS percentage of 51.3%. The Capitals recorded 2 goals of the 22 shots on goal they tried. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this matchup but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.

Washington has taken 524 shots (16th in professional hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 11.26%, while allowing their opponents 558 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 78.33% on their opponents 60 chances on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 89.1%. They have a total of 47 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 31.91%. The Capitals have tallied 44 goals at even strength and 15 goals (10th in the league) while on the power play. They have allowed 61 goals to be scored by way of 48 goals at even strength and 13 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the season, the Washington Capitals have accounted for 59 goals, 22 points, in addition to a points percentage of .611.

Across the rink you are going to see Vitek Vanecek defending the net. He has recorded 422 saves out of the 465 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .908. Vanecek is the owner of a career record of 7-4-3 and has participated in 15 contests. He got the starting nod in 15 games and has played for a total of 885 minutes. Vanecek's quality start rate sits at 46.7% and he has made 7 quality starting assignments in his pro career. The opposition is averaging 2.92 goals per contest and he has relinquished 43 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Washington (-120)

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