Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 11/20/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, November 20, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (+156) Maple Leafs (-173)

Scotiabank Arena is the venue where Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (12-5-1) will play the Pittsburgh Penguins (6-6-4) on Saturday. The Penguins open this contest at +156 while the Maple Leafs are priced at -173. The O/U has been set at 6.

The Penguins were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 6-0 win against the Canadiens in their last outing. The Corsi for the Penguins was sitting at 60 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 48 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 55.6%. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 55.0% and their PDO was 112.2 in this one. Pittsburgh compiled 2 penalty minutes in this contest. The Penguins had a good offensive outing in this win. Their Fenwick was 49 and the Fenwick against was 30, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 62.0%. They tallied 19 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 16 opportunities to gain puck control. Additionally, they had 1 power play try and were able to score 1 goal. For the matchup, they scored on 6 out of the 43 shots they launched.

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Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have totaled 42 power play tries (25th in professional hockey) and have a total of 5 goals in those attempts. The Penguins have had 498 shots attempted against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .904. Pittsburgh has taken 573 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 8.4%. While at even strength, the Penguins have conceded 43 goals while getting 42 as an offensive unit. Pittsburgh comes into the game with 51 power play opportunities and they have tallied 6 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 11.76%. For the current campaign, they have recorded 16 points and their points percentage sits at .500. When discussing their goal scoring prowess, the Pittsburgh Penguins have racked up 48 goals (13th in hockey) this year and have conceded 48.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Tristan Jarry. The opposition has racked up 282 goals against Jarry in his career and his average for goals against per game is 2.62. Jarry has played in 114 games over the course of his NHL career. He has a save percentage of .913 in his 6,451 mins guarding the cage. He has accumulated an overall mark of 65-33-10 and he started in 108 games. During his career on the ice, Jarry has recorded 67 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .620. Jarry has seen 3,257 shots taken against him and has garnered 2,975 saves.

Their last time out, Toronto went up against the Rangers in a matchup where the Maple Leafs notched a win by a final of 2-1. Toronto had a 51.5% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Toronto had and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their Fenwick rate was 55.6% with a Fenwick of 45 and the Rangers finishing with a 36 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO at even strength of 100 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 41.8%. The Maple Leafs recorded 2 goals of the 30 shots on goal they tried. They had 1 chance on the power play in this matchup and recorded 1 goal on that try.

For the year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 48 goals, 25 points, as well as a points percentage of .694. They have allowed 43 goals to be scored by way of 37 goals at even strength and 6 goals while they were shorthanded. The Maple Leafs are sitting with 35 goals at even strength and 13 goals (4th in the league) while on the power play. They have earned 49 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 26.53%. Toronto has tried 610 shots (1st in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 7.87%, while allowing their opponents 542 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 87.76% on their opponents 49 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 92.1%.

Across the rink you will find Jack Campbell in net. Campbell has accumulated a lifetime record of 50-33-9 and has participated in 101 contests. Campbell's quality start rate comes out to 58.7% and he has qualified for 54 quality starts in his career. He has racked up 2,581 stops out of 2,801 shots attempted, giving him a save % of .921. His opposition is averaging 2.34 goals/game and he has given up 220 goals altogether. He has started in 92 contests and has played for a total of 5,637 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-173)

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