Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 10/12/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Tuesday, October 12, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (+120) Lightning (-140)

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3) play the Pittsburgh Penguins (37-16-3) at Amalie Arena on Tuesday. The Penguins open this contest at +120 while the Lightning are priced at -140. The total opens at 6.

The Penguins were on the losing side of the ice with a 5-3 defeat against the Islanders in their previous game. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 55.9% and their PDO rating was 82.3 for this one. They amassed 20 face-off victories when at even strength and were beaten on 31 opportunities to take control of the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 51 and the Fenwick Against sat at 31, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 62.2%. The Corsi for the Penguins came in at 73 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 41 which means they had a Corsi rate of 64.0%. Pittsburgh had 4 penalty minutes in this contest. Additionally, they had 2 power play tries and were able to notch 1 goal. The Penguins had a middle of the road offensive output in this defeat. In the game, they converted 3 of the 37 shots they looked to score on.

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With respect to their goal scoring prowess, the Pittsburgh Penguins accumulated 193 goals (2nd in the league) during the previous year and conceded 155. For the pervious campaign, they recorded 77 points and their points percentage was .688. Pittsburgh tallied 152 power play chances and scored 36 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 23.68%. While at even strength, the Penguins let the opposition score 120 goals while scoring 157. Pittsburgh attempted 1,684 shots and held a shot percentage of 11.5%. The Penguins had 1,679 shots tried against them and held a save percentage of .908. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents had 155 power play tries (20th in the NHL) and had a total of 35 goals in those attempts.

The player in the crease for this game is Tristan Jarry. In his career, Jarry has recorded 24 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .632. His save percentage is .909 during his 2,185 minutes on the ice. Jarry has had 1,100 shots taken against him and has recorded 1,000 total saves. The opposition has been able to score 100 goals against Jarry in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.75. He has amassed a record of 25-9-3 and was named the starter in 38 games. Jarry has been involved in 39 contests throughout his professional hockey career.

Their last time out, Tampa Bay played the Canadiens in an outing where the Lightning took home the victory by a score of 1-0. They had a PDO at even strength of 105 and they earned an oZS percentage of 76.5%. They had 3 power play opportunities in this matchup but weren't able to notch a goal. Their Fenwick rate came in at 50.8% by way of having a Fenwick of 30 and the Canadiens ending the game with a 29 Fenwick at even strength. The Lightning tallied 1 goal out of the 30 shots on goal they took. Tampa Bay wound up with a 50.0% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Tampa Bay played and you could say that they have had better days on the ice.

During this campaign, the Tampa Bay Lightning earned a total of 180 goals, 75 points, in addition to a points percentage of .670. They permitted 145 goals to be scored by of a combination of 116 goals at even strength and 29 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Lightning accumulated 140 goals at even strength and 40 goals (4th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. They recorded 180 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 22.22%. Tampa Bay put up 1,692 shots (9th in hockey) and earned a shot percentage of 10.64%, while allowing their opponent 1,583 shots. They recorded a penalty kill rate of 84.15% on their opposition's 183 power play tries, and their save percentage was at 90.8%.

Across the ice you are expected to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in net. He has gathered 1,144 saves out of 1,237 shots taken against him, giving him a save percentage of .925. Vasilevskiy has compiled a career record of 31-10-1 and has participated in 42 games. He got the starting nod in 42 games and has played 2,524 minutes. Vasilevskiy's percentage of quality starts is 57.1% and he has accumulated 24 quality starts in his career. The opposition is averaging 2.21 goals per contest and he has given up 93 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+120)

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