Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 5/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Tuesday, May 4, 2021

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (-138) Flyers (+118)

Casey DeSmith and the Pittsburgh Penguins (34-15-3) head to Wells Fargo Center on Tuesday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Flyers (22-22-7). The moneyline on this matchup has the Penguins coming in at -138 and the Flyers are at +118. The over/under opens at 6.

The Penguins were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 3-0 victory over the Capitals in their last game. The Corsi for the Penguins was 39 and the Corsi against was 46 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 45.9%. The offensive zone starts for them were at 48.5% and they had a PDO of 112.5 for this matchup. Pittsburgh accumulated 9 penalty mins in this game. The Penguins had a middle of the road offensive outing in the win. Their Fenwick came in at 32 and the Fenwick against was 35, giving them a Fenwick rate of 47.8%. They totaled 27 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to win the face-off. Furthermore, they had 2 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to make the most of them. For the outing, they tallied a score on 3 out of the 26 shots they put on goal.

The Penguins have had 1,549 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .909. At even strength, the Penguins have given up 108 goals while scoring 144 of their own. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have tallied 148 power play opportunities (19th in professional hockey) and have a total of 33 goals in those attempts. For the current campaign, they have racked up 71 points and their points percentage is .683. Pittsburgh has tried 1,559 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.2%. With respect to their scoring capabilities, the Pittsburgh Penguins have tallied 175 goals (1st in hockey) for the season and have conceded 141. Pittsburgh skates onto the rink with 142 power play chances and they have scored 31 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 21.83%.

The man protecting the net in this game is Casey DeSmith. For his career, DeSmith is sitting with 34 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .596. His save percentage is .916 in his 3,736 mins in the crease. DeSmith has seen 1,922 shots taken against him and has accrued 1,761 saves. The opposition has been able to score 161 goals against DeSmith in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.59. He has accumulated a record of 32-21-6 and he was named the starter in 57 games. DeSmith has been involved in 69 games throughout his NHL career.

In their last game, Philadelphia played the Devils in an outing where the Flyers ended up losing by a final score of 4-1. They had a PDO at even strength of 88 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 60.6%. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this game but didn't score a goal. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 59.7% by amassing a Fenwick of 43 and the Devils finishing with a 29 Fenwick. The Flyers tallied 1 goal of the 32 shots on goal they pursued. Philadelphia went home with a 60.4% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Philadelphia had and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall.

On the season, the Philadelphia Flyers are sitting with 141 goals, 51 points, in addition to a points percentage of .500. They have permitted 182 goals to be scored by of a combination of 141 goals at even strength and 41 goals while they were shorthanded. The Flyers have racked up 111 goals at even strength and 30 goals (17th in hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 155 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 19.35%. Philadelphia has put up 1,525 shots (14th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 9.25%, while allowing the opposition 1,473 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 73.20% on their opponents 153 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 87.6%.

On the other side of the ice you are expected to see Brian Elliott protecting the goal. Elliott has earned a career record of 254-154-49 and has played in 499 games. Elliott's quality start percentage comes out to 54.7% and he has qualified for 248 quality starting assignments in his career. He has gathered 11,826 saves out of 12,988 shots taken against him, which gives him a percentage of .911. Opponents are averaging 2.53 goals/game and he has allowed 1,162 goals in total. He was named a starter in 453 games and has played for a total of 27,572 mins.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-138)

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